It may end up being purely a wireless game controlled by the big mobile wireless folks, but there are some trends that we see in our business that are telling us wireless is going to be a challenge.
1. All video (and music) entertainment is headed toward streaming. Gaming falls into the high bandwidth, low latency camp as well. 2. More and more devices in the home are Internet connected. Not only TVs any more, we have appliances, home automation, video security systems, etc. It isn’t unreasonable to think the average home will have 12-15 devices connected to the Internet beyond the cell phones. It seems that a central internet connection will continue to be a necessity for the average home. It isn’t likely we’ll see mobile data plans that will be reasonable enough that someone will pay for 15 different plans. As mentioned below, that means that mobile carriers will likely offer some sort of central connection to the house. Given that the bandwidth requirement for house is going to rise with streaming, we are thinking we might see constant demand of 50-80 Mbps, maybe even north of that. To deliver that to every house, you need 80 Mhz channels of open spectrum and a fairly low oversubscription rate at the tower. And the tower needs to be feed with fiber, or have a heck of a wireless backhaul connection. As mentioned below, that means 5G sites likely on high frequencies, very close to each other, fed by fiber. It seems like fiber direct to the premise is about the same thing. Just musing…. Regards, David Coudron From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Mathew Howard Sent: Monday, January 20, 2020 9:18 AM To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] The Future That's exactly what I was thinking reading this thread. Fiber isn't likely to be surpassed by anything else anytime soon, but the need for having any kind of a traditional wired connection to the home could very well disappear in the not too distant future. Fiber is still going to be needed to make the 5G, 6G or whatever technologies work, but if every device has it's own unlimited 5G wireless connection, not many people are going to feel the need to pay for home connection. But whether that can actually be made to work (in both a practical and technical sense) remains to be seen. On Mon, Jan 20, 2020 at 8:28 AM Gino A. Villarini <g...@aeronetpr.com<mailto:g...@aeronetpr.com>> wrote: Fiber is future proof but not human proof.. As the users continue to gravitate more to handheld devices, the actual value of fiber as a last mile connection for the end user is a sliding graph towards 0. Wireless connectivity will continue expand in different iterations like 5G, 6G and other upcoming technologies like LTTH and LTTD (LEO to the home and LEO to the Device). <- I just coined both terms! Gino Villarini Founder/President @gvillarini t: 787.273.4143 Ext. 204 m: [aeronet-logo]<http://www.aeronetpr.com/> [inc500]<https://www.inc.com/profile/aeronet> [fb-logo]<https://www.facebook.com/aeronetpr/> [insta-logo]<https://www.instagram.com/aeronetpr/?hl=en> [in-logo]<https://www.linkedin.com/company/aeronet-broadband-corp> [tw-logo]<https://twitter.com/AeroNetPR?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor> [yt-logo]<https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCr2Q9WBrAYVm3Fn970Jd6VA> www.aeronetpr.com<http://www.aeronetpr.com> | Metro Office Park #18 Suite 304 Guaynabo, PR 00968 From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com<mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com>> on behalf of Matt Hoppes <mattli...@rivervalleyinternet.net<mailto:mattli...@rivervalleyinternet.net>> Reply-To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com<mailto:af@af.afmug.com>> Date: Sunday, January 19, 2020 at 10:30 PM To: "af@af.afmug.com<mailto:af@af.afmug.com>" <af@af.afmug.com<mailto:af@af.afmug.com>> Subject: [AFMUG] The Future I don’t know why, but this evening got me thinking about broadband delivery over the past 30 years and the future of broadband. First we had nothing, then along came dial-up and that was amazing and many companies sprung up offering the service. Giants like AOL and Prodigy. Then DSL and Cable came along as well as wireless and dial-up has all but died. Now DSL is basically dead, cable and wireless have gone through several iterations and we are seeing a push to fiber. What’s the possibility in the next 10 years cable and wireless will be dead technologies with fiber at the fore front? Possibly. But then..... is fiber really future proof? We are talking about investing hundreds of millions into fiber infrastructure, because it’s “the future”. But is it? So far every technology delivery mechanism to date has become obsolete in as little as 6-10 years. -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com<mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com<mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
-- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
