If the SpaceX Starlink system works at 50% of what it's hyped, it will become the future of rural internet. Urban is still going to be dominated (eventually) by fiber for the foreseeable future. Higher speed wireless will be very, very local.

bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 1/19/2020 6:29 PM, Matt Hoppes wrote:
I don’t know why, but this evening got me thinking about broadband delivery 
over the past 30 years and the future of broadband.

First we had nothing, then along came dial-up and that was amazing and many 
companies sprung up offering the service. Giants like AOL and Prodigy.

Then DSL and Cable came along as well as wireless and dial-up has all but died.

Now DSL is basically dead, cable and wireless have gone through several 
iterations and we are seeing a push to fiber.

What’s the possibility in the next 10 years cable and wireless will be dead 
technologies with fiber at the fore front?  Possibly.

But then..... is fiber really future proof?  We are talking about investing 
hundreds of millions into fiber infrastructure, because it’s “the future”. But 
is it?

So far every technology delivery mechanism to date has become obsolete in as 
little as 6-10 years.

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