At least they aren't politicians...

On 04/26/2020 11:18 AM, Chuck McCown wrote:
The women are there and more prominent then in times past but they still cannot hold the priesthood. So until that changes it will be run mostly by white old men.

Sent from my iPhone

On Apr 26, 2020, at 11:40 AM, Robert <i...@avantwireless.com> wrote:

 Good group to rely on, but women?

On 4/26/20 10:22 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
Here is the roster of the 14 guys at the top and their former professions:
Russell M. Nelson *Famous heart surgeon*
Dallin H. Oaks        Justice of Utah Supreme Court
M. Russell Ballard Ballard Motor Company – Businessman
Jeffrey R. Holland President BYU
Henry B. Eyring President Ricks – Harvard Business School alum, his dad was a famous Physicist Dieter F. Uchtdorf Senior VP of Flight Operations Lufthansa Former fighter pilot
David A. Bednar President Ricks (BYU Idaho)  Business school professor
Quentin L. Cook Corporate Attorney
D. Todd Christofferson    Corporate Attorney
Donale Rasband Business Executive
Gary E. Stevenson Business Executive
Dale G. Renlund *Cardiologist, Professor, Medical Director*
Gerrit W. Gong. Professor – Political science  US State Department
Ulisses Soraes Auditor
Note:  Not a single doctor of theology or philosophy...
*From:* ch...@wbmfg.com
*Sent:* Sunday, April 26, 2020 11:12 AM
*To:* af@af.afmug.com
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Dang, not normal
I think we are pretty good at top down organization and rule following. The LDS church has a huge amount of sway over the state government. Actually at all levels. The good thing is that the upper echelons of the LDS church is populated by highly educated people. The president of the church is a former world renown heart surgeon. If he mentions something, people listen... kinda like Charles Schwab.
*From:* Robert
*Sent:* Sunday, April 26, 2020 11:01 AM
*To:* af@af.afmug.com
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Dang, not normal
Utah seems to be far ahead of the curve... Yep the mormons understand disease...

On 4/26/20 9:16 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
Because 100% of deaths in Utah are tested for Coronavirus...
*From:* Robert
*Sent:* Sunday, April 26, 2020 10:07 AM
*To:* af@af.afmug.com
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Dang, not normal
There was just an interesting article written that lamented how inaccurate coroners have been on cause of death for the whole existence of coroners... Like 50% accurate. Why would they get better now?

On 4/26/20 8:23 AM, Bill Prince wrote:

There is so much we don't know for a number of frustrating reasons. One is the asymptomatic infection problem, and how long that lasts. The other is that the symptoms are "similar" to the flu, and sometimes other things. One headline that caught my attention this morning is that Santa Clara County had 29 people listed as "dying of flu-like symptoms", and 9 (roughly 1/3) have been reclassified as COVID-19 after they tested for the virus.

I snipped this from the article, and it pretty well sums up the situation at present:

    /“We’ll never, ever know how many people contracted the
    coronavirus in San Clara County or California or the U.S. That
    ship has sailed. Even self-reporting would be inherently
    inaccurate or impossible,” Santa Clara County Supervisor Dave
    Cortese said. “Our only hope of getting a decent history of it
    is by counting the dead. I’m really disappointed that coroners
    all over the country haven’t done a better job. They’ve been
    signing death certificates as strokes or heart attacks or
    natural causes.”/

bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 4/26/2020 8:12 AM, Robert wrote:
Does it bug anyone else that this "doctor" says that we aren't treating this like other epidemics and quarantining the sick, when Covid-19 IS NOT LIKE OTHER epidemics. It has a 2-10 day period of being contagious _without_ symptoms.
     I was agreeing with him up until that point.
Then he goes into the NY numbers and he does the same extrapolation of the testing vs sick numbers that many have done before ( including myself ) which is BAD Science. It's not a good test case to extrapolate to the gen pop from, because the testing has not been randomly done across gen pop! The people who get tested typically are those who exhibit symptoms. This may under guess the number who have gotten it OR over guess, but it's still NOT science. He also neglects the effect of the quarantine actions on the results of the number of cases in his region. Gee wilikers I want to hear the same information done from actual scientific method testing. Then he says "hundreds of thousands of deaths which were inaccurate"... Um we are over 54K deaths and the curve ISN'T going down. It seems to have leveled off but is still going strong. In basically 1.5 months. We are 1/4+ the way to the model with social distancing. Without social distancing we could start making a gain on the other models. I think this is yet another example of someone, this time a doctor, who looks at the results of successful social distancing and says it's overreaction. And then he talks about 0.1% of death and then 92% recovery. Um doesn't that sound like 8% who DON'T recover? And if you throw 8% at the hospitals of the population in a much shorter time from not social distancing, what happens to the hospitals? Sorry but this is an "agenda" again...

IT'S NOT LIKE THE FLU!

On 4/26/20 7:34 AM, James Howard wrote:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfLVxx_lBLU&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR2Z1n4E0sxMyXc82UZxrXNKJqf9oaC_kF53Be6NZaVPnuP8jwTDKxk5w4g

*From:* AF [mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com] *On Behalf Of *Ken Hohhof
*Sent:* Sunday, April 26, 2020 8:13 AM
*To:* 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' mailto:af@af.afmug.com
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Dang, not normal

Steve, the usual solution is for nervous dwelling beings to engage in “spring cleaning”, to the annoyance of all other dwelling beings.

https://www.gocomics.com/breaking-cat-news/2020/04/26

*From:* AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> *On Behalf Of *Steve Jones
*Sent:* Sunday, April 26, 2020 12:27 AM
*To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com>
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Dang, not normal

I just reread that and am going to have to call a lent. Sorry

On Sun, Apr 26, 2020, 12:19 AM Steve Jones <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> wrote:

    That's another thing that really needs kicked to the curb,
    political correctness. This is serious business, and
    housewives get nervous. A nervous housewife can make a whole
    lot of bad decisions. Those bad decisions have real world
    consequenses that dont care about being politically correct.
    You can say house person if you want. Well maybe being, since
    son is in person, indicating Male, if a gender actually
    exists. And I guess house indicates some level of financial
    status.

    Would you feel better about "dwelling being".

    "Keeping dwelling beings occupied and less nervous" does that
    make you feel better?

    Fyi, that's specifically the reason I have my wife, who is
    suffering severe post partum depression in the middle of the
    end of the world, looking for templates on making masks, so i
    dont come home to the real world consequense of my babies
    drown in the bathtub. I'm not quite sure if her doing that
    would be PC or not.

    On Sat, Apr 25, 2020, 11:56 PM Bruce Robertson
    <br...@pooh.com> wrote:

        “keeping housewives occupied and less nervous”

        Really? You’re aware this is 2020, right?

            On Apr 25, 2020, at 8:18 PM, Steve Jones
            <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> wrote:

            

            You asked

            What was recomended by the White House. Regional
            opening with result driven response. (Without
            rhetoric, example, my county TRIPLED its cases over
            the weekend. It went from 1 to 3, the 2 new ones are
            related, so the increase is pretty irrelevant.)
            Tracing is more important than testing. That's just a
            matter of fact, testing is a slice in time, you can
            be infected, and test negative if you were recently
            infected, you can get infected at a test site. You
            can test positive from an environmental exposure
            without having actually caught it. It's like MRSA of
            the nairs.

            Once identified, the tracing leads back to likely
            hotspots. I'd personally put the bulk of the funding
            into tracing. Use every bit of data volunteered.
            Particularly request the tracking data from mobile
            devices. If its volunteered, you have a map. If they
            dont, well, you work with what you have.

            "Testing" is a tool of politics. The only way to
            effectively test would be real time monitoring. Which
            A. Doesnt exist and B. Wouldn't be feasible.

            The governors each now have in their possession the
            location of every single test processing facility in
            the nation. So what little relevance testing actually
            plays in management is their responsibility to
            delegate coordination. So it's a moot issue.

            Any location exposed in tracing gets a mandatory
            scrub scrub (to be honest, I dont understand any
            public venue that wouldn't be surface decontaminating
            once ever 24 hours minimum anyway, there's no
            shortage of killitol level disinfectants)

            I think the mandatory face covering is nonsense. If
            it were mandatory rated filtration masks that would
            be different.

            But there isnt a production capacity for that on the
            entire planet. But since it makes people feel like
            they're doing something, I'm all for it. Placebo is
            actually a powerful medication for much of what ails
            society. Plus the homemade masks are keeping
            housewives occupied and less nervous. That actually
            matters.

            Occasionally a tracing may require a mandatory
            compensated closure. Example being a county here in
            illinois that has a processor who has over 20
            employees infected, they're still operational. There
            is autonomy and constitutional rights, and then there
            is stupidity and a true public health risk. That
            falls under the latter and should be closed pending
            decontamination.

            A forcible closure, from a document able and
            legitimate public health risk should require medical
            screening of all staff/administration prior to
            resuming activities. There is no shortage of
            available healthcare practitioners right now, so
            depts of public health can contract that . Once
            again, the focus should be on tracing. Heavily funded
            tracing. "Patient zero" in the above mentioned case
            has probably long since recovered. Tracing is where
            they are identified, as theyll test negative now.
            Cases like this are where antibody testing should be
            prioritized, assuming there is consent.

            Tracing

            The same applies to public venues. If tracing
            identifies probable contamination, the venue scrubs.
            Applicable staff are cleared, tracing, tracing
            tracing. Video surveillance has a huge role where it
            is voluntarily submitted. Voluntarily being key and
            subjective, since it will be a whole lot quicker to
            clear a location of all tracing resources are made
            readily available. Call it extortion if you want, it
            is what it is, and it is a tool.

            Metrics must be clearly defined. If two people
            happenned to have been in the same place, it doesnt
            need to necessarily be shut down. But the threshold
            must be clearly defined. We have very little that is
            clearly defined. That has a whole lot to do with the
            defiance. Selling seeds being a prime example, at no
            point did illinois shut that down, yet places
            cordoned them off and facebook images went nuts. This
            is literally the same thing that cause the rapid
            spread in the US, images of empty shelves. Many of
            the people protesting still dont know that nurseries
            and greenhouses were specifically deemed essential
            last week, but that's why they're there. Clearly
            define everything, on the state and county websites.
            Accurate information is critical. That and tracing.

            Define regional thresholds for stages of opening. If
            a region declines, shut it down. If a region does
            well, progress the stages. Exactly as the feds
            recommend.

            Define and justify every single essential and non
            essential industry. With a mandatory state
            clarification within 24 hours of a designation
            request. Justify being key. And publicly accessible
            designations. This would be fluid and ongoing.

            Leisure activities need designations. Nuclear family
            needs clarification. As it reads, I cant take my
            family fishing in illinois because the designated
            limit is 2. This will get police in situations with
            bad outcomes because nobody bothered to clarify.

            If a region's medical resources are verifiably and
            documented to be taxed to a predefined and clearly
            defined level, then ease back on the stages, all the
            way to lockdown if need be. But media reports and
            public opinion arent the metrics. The staffing levels
            and documented patient loads define that.

            I can continue

            On Sat, Apr 25, 2020, 9:01 PM Chuck Macenski
            <ch...@macenski.com> wrote:

                Would you please articulate specifically "what is
                right" in this situation? I am asking for your
                non-political opinion of the most constructive
                way forward.

                On Sat, Apr 25, 2020 at 8:24 PM Steve Jones
                <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> wrote:

                    I sit back and watch as people contradict
                    their own statements. "Its going to be here
                    like this for years" "tests are growing, as
                    is the number" "it's been here longer than we
                    think" "it hasn't peaked because muh testing"
                    "it's going to be worse in fall" "mitigation
                    has had a major impact"

                    The best is regarding the medication mien
                    fuehrer liked. "Its only anecdotal" "a tiny
                    group had a negative outcome, thisnis the
                    gold standard and this drug must be banned"

                    I live in a state where our governor is in a
                    pissing contest with the White House, but
                    doing pretty much what the White House
                    recommends, with the exception of looking at
                    things by region. We only have two regions,
                    chicago, and people who voted for the current
                    president at 1600. So the whole of downstate
                    will be punished for not voting the right
                    way. When asked about the data, for the
                    "science" behind this, we were told the state
                    doesnt own the data, so we cant see it.

                    I'm part of a foster parent group. One of the
                    fosters is utterly destroyed right now. Her
                    prior ward, that she stayed in contact with
                    died 3 days ago at 15. He had returned home,
                    but went back into the system during this
                    (our state, in its infinite wisdom has
                    effectively shut down the foster support
                    system, non essential and all) he couldn't
                    come back to her because she is at capacity.
                    He had cancer and was in a drug trial. He had
                    been thriving. The governors orders didnt
                    allow for him to get access to the trial
                    resources, so he lost his trial spot, as is
                    the nature of trials. There were no resources
                    available to get him into a linear treatment.
                    3 days ago he succumbed to the complication.
                    While anecdotal, this is exactly what the
                    cure being worse than the disease looks like.
                    Granted, the speed at which he declined from
                    thriving to dead indicates underlying issues,
                    the chicago emperors orders made certain
                    there were no resources. Right now, thanks to
                    the emperors orders, there are approximately
                    zero resources available to the foster
                    families. Anticipate a whole lot of negative
                    outcomes.

                    Point is, everybody is more concerned about
                    proving how wrong their political enemy is,
                    that nobody is even actually looking for what
                    is right.

                    Thankfully mother nature doesnt care and this
                    will, like all ailments of proximity,
                    diminish in the next week or so.

                    On Sat, Apr 25, 2020, 5:48 PM Bill Prince
                    <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

                        Just listened (in part) to a discussion
                        about COVID-19 as it regards China/US
                        relations. It is a discussion between
                        Dubner, Michèle Flournoy ( former
                        undersecretary of defense and co-founder
                        of strategic-advisory firm WestExec.),
                        and Michael Auslin (historian at Stanford
                        University’s Hoover Institution).

                        Within the discussion Auslin asserts that
                        the death toll within Wuhan alone was
                        between 45 and 47 thousand; at least 10X
                        what they have reported through official
                        channels. He gets his data through
                        croudsourcing crematoria activity and the
                        number of people picking up urns of
                        deceased family members.

                        If you don't have time to listen to this,
                        it is at least worth a read of the
                        transcript.

                            https://freakonomics.com/podcast/covid-19-china/

                        bp

                        <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

                        On 4/25/2020 3:11 PM, Jaime Solorza wrote:

                            This virus doesn't care if you are a
                            Republican, a Democrat, an
                            Independent, agnostic, religious or
                            an atheist...if it gets you it might
                            kill you...

                            Stay smart, listen to doctors and
                            scientists....not ineptus maximus
                            politicians.

                            On Sat, Apr 25, 2020, 12:45 PM Bill
                            Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

                                As we test more, we are
                                undoubtedly going to find more
                                cases that were previously going
                                undetected (asymptomatic
                                infection). This is a long way
                                from over. The other thing we
                                have not come to grips with is
                                the uneven spread/mitigation.

                                There was an interesting graphic
                                for the state of California
                                showing the state as a whole
                                versus just the Bay Area (Mercury
                                News this morning). The 7
                                counties around the bay
                                instituted shelter in place very
                                early, and it's beginning to show
                                in the statistics. The Bay Area
                                accounts for almost 18% of the
                                entire state population (7 of the
                                40 million).

                                bp

                                <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

                                On 4/25/2020 8:45 AM,
                                ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:

                                    Might be Chebyshev BPF
                                    though... hopefully...Bessell.

                                    Hopefully not high pass...

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