Jim: This is an elusive problem because of the range of the possibilities.  So, 
in order to explain how this can take place in a simple time frame I have to 
guess that it is done through a narrowing of the possibilities. 

Or it’s done the way you actually tried to solve your problem here. You just 
guessed. You didn’t “narrow the possibilities”. Neither you nor your 
unconscious brain could define a set of possibilities here -   a set of  
“methods of solving problems about inscrutable events.” There is no such set.

So you just guessed – a one-off, straight-off, reasoned, inference. As you say, 
you “have to. “ Guess what? That’s how real, inscrutable world reasoning mainly 
works One guess at a time.  Guess after guess.


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AGI
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