You’ve given two examples of real world problems – “what do those women really 
think about me?” / “how to reason about methods of dealing with ‘inscrutable’ 
problems”?

Show how in either (or any real world problem whatsoever) there is or can be “ 
a systematic search through possibilities”

What are the systematic possibilities whenever you have to “read minds” (as 
above) –  a classification which embraces a vast amount of psychological RWR.

What are the systematic possibilities for considering/reading – *what Obama 
really intends to do in any foreign policy area”, or Iran intends to do re 
Israel, or ......etc

The whole damn point of RWR is that you don’t have a set of options – you have 
to construct options from scratch – and you aren’t going to get anywhere near a 
set. What you’re arguing is pretty well the complete opposite of the truth.

From: Jim Bromer 
Sent: Tuesday, February 05, 2013 10:05 AM
To: AGI 
Subject: Re: [agi] Multiple Vantages Can Be Used to Find Multiple Observation 
Objectives

Mike, lt is a systematic search through possibilities.  The possibilities are 
limited to reasoned conjectures about the problem.  The preparation does 
involve using ideas that had been considered before but the majority of the 
ideas do not come from a pre-prepared set of "options".  The conjectures do 
include what I call imaginative projection, but the use of the imagination in 
reasoned conjectures is driven by rational consideration.
Jim Bromer


On Tue, Feb 5, 2013 at 4:51 AM, Mike Tintner <[email protected]> wrote:

  Jim, My post explicitly said that a/your guess is a “reasoned inference.” The 
key point I’m making – and you’re ignoring – is that it’s a one-off, 
one-at-a-time business rather than a narrow AI systematic search through a 
pre-prepared set of options (the kind that cause such “complexity”). And this 
BTW is the irrefutable truth – no one’s going to produce an AGI problem where 
there is a neat set of options.
  When you noted the existence of “inscrutable events” – (I would say “partly 
invisible events/objects”) – you were onto something big, taking a big step 
forward in your AGI thinking. When you started looking for “reliable” ways of 
solving problems about them – (trying basically to cling to the old narrow AI 
ways) – you took a big step back. Concentrate on the invisible nature of the 
subjects of real world problems. There is no reliable way to deal with them. 
You just gotta get stuck in and guess, or if you prefer 
“hypothesize”/”theorise”.
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