If Deep Learning is 'It' then why are search engines in decline? With all
the computing power that the industry has at hand search engines should be
getting a little smarter every day. Therefore I have come to
the conclusion that the efficacy of Deep Learning is at least partly and
maybe mostly hype. I do acknowledge that there have been major advances in
AI it is just that they do not add up to the kind of general intelligence
that people are capable of.

It is true that programs like Watson and Deep Learning programs are capable
of being applied to a wide variety of problems so to say that they do not
constitute general intelligence just does not make sense. Their
applications may seem narrow but there is no question that they could be
refitted (so to speak) to deal with a greater variety of problems So I
reject the statement that they are just forms of 'narrow AI' because that
kind of criticism no longer reveals what is missing in the contemporary
paradigms. We have to form a better criticism. My criticism is that they
lack the power of insightful conceptual integration.

If Deep Learning is not 'It' then why not? I believe the answer is probably
simple. Deep Learning is an extension of hybrid machine learning and there
is not anything new there (at least of the sort of thing that we are
looking for.) From this point of view I would guess that Watson did use
deep learning (with small d and small l if you will). I also believe that
programmers could take something like a chess program and apply many of the
same principles to a variety of different kinds of situations. Then work it
on a massive corpus of situations and the responses that it produced could
be sampled and scored. (I am not advocating this as an AGI program I am
simply saying that this methodology could be implemented in Deep Learning.)
So my conclusion is that Deep Learning has not presented us with some new
paradigm (of great importance to our interests). It is essentially an
extension of systems that have been a part of machine learning for a number
of years.

So the attempt to 'prove' that I am wrong about Deep Learning and 'narrow
AI' is not very interesting without a very well structured argument. It is
not that Watson did not use Deep Learning and that Deep Learning is narrow
AI; the problem, in my opinion is that none of these methods detail how
conceptual integration might take place in an AI program.

Deep Learning may be new but it is not imo something that has produced a
program that is distinctively more intelligent. Analogically, the argument
that Deep Learning is narrow AI is not a criticism that sheds light on what
is missing in these AI methods. It is an old criticism that is true in some
cases but falls short in most cases.



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AGI
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