Hi,

I have to recognize that i am very interested in this topic. 

I did QQ norm plots on my data, and it is curved - but it is not an ... 
arc ... or how can i explain it? the lower part of the graph is almost 
a line for about 2/3 or the data and after it is a curve - kind of large - 
and after the rest of the data is almost on another line. Because 
the curvature is large it is hard to decide where to "split" the data 
with the naked eye. So i used box-plot to identify "outliers" and see 
if a QQ norm plot of these points represents a line or not. Well, it is 
not a perfect line - but it is quite close. So i was happy with that. 
But i plot in a QQ graph the rest of the "non-outliers" - and guess 
what??? It is a kind of curve, the nice line i had before in the first 
graph is now "diluted" (if i can say that) ....

I know from the data semi-variogram that i don't have spatial 
autocorrelation - and i should. If i eliminate the "outliers" i do have 
spatial autocorrelation, with a decent global Moran's I. Now, if i 
reintroduce some of the previous identified "outliers", the global 
Moran's I increases. I would interpret this saying that box-plot over-
estimated in this case the number of outliers. 

I have prior knowledge about the site i am working on, and since 
the contamination i am speaking about is PAH16, even so called 
background contamination (which is way below the environmental 
threshold) is anthropogenic in origin. Of course i am much more 
interested in "outliers" because there i have the "pollution" values. 
These values mainly cluster in 3 areas, and i consider those the 
"point source pollution" which actually correlate well with the 
industrial activity on the site.

I think this is a nice and quite believable story. But the situation is 
totally different with heavy metals, or better put - not so obvious. So 
i am trying now to apply some MIX procedures (P. Mcdonald) and 
see if this will shed more light. Now my fear is that the spatial 
autocorrelation for heavy metals is at a much smaller scale than 
the actual sampling i have for the site.Unfortunately it is out of 
question to do more sampling.

Monica

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