Agree with puneet completely. After first blue pen, only possible outcomes
are blue or black and hence 1/2.

On Sat, Aug 6, 2011 at 12:28 AM, Puneet Goyal <puneetgoya...@gmail.com>wrote:

>
> @shiv : you are considering the case when you need to know the probability
> of both pens being blue, but in the question you already know that 1st one
> is blue so you dont need to care about it, and also the 3rd packet getting
> eliminated coz of it increases the probability to 1/2
>
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-- 
Regards
Kunal Yadav
(http://algoritmus.in/)

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