Think it like this. I have tossed a coin 5 times and it showed heads all the
times. What is the probabilty of it shoing a HEADS now?
Aseem



On Mon, Aug 8, 2011 at 1:12 AM, Shuaib Khan <aries.shu...@gmail.com> wrote:

>
>
> On Mon, Aug 8, 2011 at 12:40 AM, Puneet Gautam <puneet.nsi...@gmail.com>wrote:
>
>> Sixth toss is independent of previous tosses and dependent only on
>> coin selection...!
>>
>> 1/5 + 4/5(1/2)= 3/5
>>
>> is the correct answer....
>>
>> we want to calc. probability of getting heads the sixth time only....
>> even if it would have been 100 th time...3/5 would be the answer
>> only..
>>
>>
> It is not independent. Re read the question. The first five times, it HAS
> to be heads.
>
>>
>> On 8/8/11, Prakash D <cegprak...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> > 1.) coin is fair
>> > 2.) coin is unfair
>> >
>> > P(head) for unfair coin= 1/5 * 1= 1/5
>> > P(head) for fair coin= 4/5* 1/2 = 2/5
>> >
>> >
>> > the probability at any instant that the tossed coin is a head is 3/5
>> >
>> > 17/80 is the probability to get head at all the six times.
>> >
>> > the soln. for this problem will be 3/5
>> >
>> > On Mon, Aug 8, 2011 at 12:45 AM, aseem garg <ase.as...@gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>> >
>> >> If the coin is unbiased then probability of heads: 1/2 irrespective of
>> >> whether it is first time or nth time. So answer should be 3/5.
>> >> Aseem
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> On Mon, Aug 8, 2011 at 12:39 AM, saurabh chhabra
>> >> <saurabh131...@gmail.com>wrote:
>> >>
>> >>> Even u dont get why u people are gettin 17/80...the probability that
>> >>> it will be a head 6th time will be same as the frst time...so it shud
>> >>> be 3/5...
>> >>>
>> >>> On Aug 7, 11:05 pm, Kunal Yadav <kunalyada...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> >>> > @algo: We can get head in two cases:-
>> >>> >
>> >>> > 1.) coin is biases
>> >>> > 2.) coin is not biased
>> >>> >
>> >>> > P(head) for biased= 1/5 *1*1*1*1*1*1= 1/5
>> >>> > P(head) for unbiased= 4/5*(1/2)^6
>> >>> > hence combined probability is what nitish has already mentioned.
>> Hope
>> >>> you
>> >>> > get the point.
>> >>> >
>> >>> >
>> >>> >
>> >>> >
>> >>> >
>> >>> >
>> >>> >
>> >>> >
>> >>> >
>> >>> > On Sun, Aug 7, 2011 at 11:29 PM, Algo Lover <algolear...@gmail.com>
>> >>> wrote:
>> >>> > > Can anyone explain the approach how to solve this .
>> >>> > > I think all tosses are independent so it should be 3/5. why is
>> this
>> >>> in-
>> >>> > > correct
>> >>> >
>> >>> > > On Aug 7, 10:55 pm, saurabh chhabra <saurabh131...@gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>> >>> > > > sry...its wrong
>> >>> >
>> >>> > > > On Aug 7, 10:34 pm, Algo Lover <algolear...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> >>> >
>> >>> > > > > A bag contains 5 coins. Four of them are fair and one has
>> heads
>> >>> > > > > on
>> >>> > > > > both sides. You randomly pulled one coin from the bag and
>> tossed
>> >>> it 5
>> >>> > > > > times, heads turned up all five times. What is the probability
>> >>> that
>> >>> > > > > you toss next time, heads turns up. (All this time you don't
>> know
>> >>> you
>> >>> > > > > were tossing a fair coin or not).
>> >>> >
>> >>> > > --
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>> >>> >
>> >>> > --
>> >>> > Regards
>> >>> > Kunal Yadav
>> >>> > (http://algoritmus.in/)
>> >>>
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