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1) Russian, French Presidents Say Majority Of Security
Council Members Are Opposed To War
2) Russian Paliamentary Speaker Leaves For Baghdad
3) Russia Hardens Stand Against Iraq War


http://www.ptd.net/webnews/wed/di/Qiraq-russia-france.RUfH_DM9.html

Majority at UN Security Council against war on Iraq:
Putin, Chirac 

MOSCOW, March 9 (AFP) - Russian President Vladimir
Putin and his French counterpart Jacques Chirac, two
resolute opponents of a UN resolution authorizing the
use of force against Iraq, voiced late Sunday their
conviction the measure doesn't have the necessary
support in the Security Council.

In a telephone conversation the two leaders "noted
with satisfaction that a majority of UN Security
Council members support the conclusion of (chief UN
weapons inspector) Hans Blix ... that there are no
grounds for discontinuing inspections in Iraq," Alexei
Gromov told the Russian news agencies.

Putin and Chirac reiterated their belief that the
crisis around Iraq should be solved peacefully through
diplomatic means, Gromov added.

US Secretary of State Colin Powell admitted Sunday
that the success of a new US-British-Spanish
resolution that could open the way for war was
unclear, but said he hoped it would get the required
number of votes to be passed at the UN Security
Council.

However, he repeated that the United states was
prepared to use force against Baghdad without a
positive Security Council vote if necessary.

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Yury Fedotov said
Saturday that Moscow would block the draft resolution
setting Iraq a March 17 deadline to disarm or face
military action, "doing everything it can not to let
the resolution pass in the UN Security Council.

Russia, France and China, who hold a veto right in the
Security Council, and Germany, are opposed to this new
draft resolution.

However, Time Magazine quoted Sunday an unnamed White
House official as saying that Putin had assured US
President George W. Bush that Moscow would not veto
the resolution.
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http://www.ptd.net/webnews/wed/bm/Qiraq-russia-duma.RFLi_DM9.html


Russian parliamentary speaker leaves for Baghdad 



MOSCOW, March 9 (AFP) - Gennady Seleznyov, speaker of
Russia's lower house of parliament, left Sunday for
Baghdad saying he would meet President Saddam Hussein
for talks on the current crisis, Interfax news agency
reported.

"We will certainly discuss the very tense situation
concerning Iraq in view of the fact that the United
States could launch strikes against the country any
day," the Duma speaker was quoted as saying.

Seleznyov said the visit was organized at the
initiative of the speaker of the Iraqi assembly.

Seleznyov was formerly a member of the communist
party, one Russia's political groups most ardently
defending Saddam.

He was expelled from the party last May for refusing
to obey party orders to quit his post.

Meanwhile President Vladimir Putin's government gave
notice Saturday that it would do everything it could
to block a UN Security Council resolution that might
trigger the use of force.

Russian opposition to US military action in Iraq has
noticeably hardened since last Wednesday when Foreign
Minister Igor Ivanov signed a joint declaration with
his French and German counterparts in Paris stating
firmly that they would "not allow a draft resolution
authorising the recourse to force to pass."

A visit to Iraq by a Russian parliamentary delegation
planned for January was cancelled.

Russian deputies later took part in a private visit by
Russian political figures to the Iraqi capital in
February.

Among them was Communist leader Gennady Zyuganov who
had a three-hour meeting with Iraqi President Saddam
Hussein in Baghdad.

He was in the Iraqi capital as a member of a 60-member
delegation of Russian lawmakers, scientists and other
officials who flew to Baghdad to try and negotiate a
peaceful resolution to the standoff with Washington.
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http://www.ptd.net/webnews/wed/cg/Qiraq-russia-us.RYwW_DM9.html

Russia's strong line over Iraq confounds predictions
Bernard Besserglik 

MOSCOW, March 9 (AFP) - Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov's
warning that the United Nations would react
"appropriately" to unilateral US action against Iraq
provides the clearest indication yet that Russia is
prepared to risk US wrath rather than endorse
immediate strikes against Baghdad.

Confounding confident predictions by US and Russian
analysts that Moscow would fall into line behind US
military action to disarm Iraq, the Kremlin gave
notice Saturday that it would do "everything it can"
to block a UN Security Council resolution that might
trigger the use of force.

Going further, Ivanov warned that "if the United
States unilaterally launched a military operation
against Iraq without a UN mandate, this would be a
violation of the UN charter."

In such a case, he said, the Security Council would
have to "take appropriate decisions."

Russian opposition to US military action in Iraq has
noticeably hardened since Wednesday when Ivanov signed
a joint declaration with his French and German
counterparts in Paris stating firmly that they would
"not allow a draft resolution authorising the recourse
to force to pass."

Although like France Russia has steered clear of
saying explicitly that it would use its power of veto,
the Kremlin's choice of words amounts to much the same
thing, and on essential points Moscow's policy is now
little different from that of Paris.

President Vladimir Putin, who has made a point of
enjoying cordial relations with his US counterpart
George W. Bush and his chief ally, British Prime
Minister Tony Blair, has opted for a low profile on
Iraq, unlike French President Jacques Chirac who has
aligned himself personally with his country's
opposition to the use of force in Iraq.

In his most recent comment Putin said he found
"understandable" a decision by Turkey to refuse to
allow US troops to use its bases for attacks on
northern Iraq, but refrained from expressing outright
approval.

Hitherto Putin has been described as treading a fine
line between safeguarding traditional Russian
interests in Iraq and keeping Washington sweet in
accordance with his post-September 11 pro-Western
stance.

But recent Russian statements on the Iraqi issue leave
no doubt that the Kremlin has come down firmly on the
side of what US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld has
referred to derisively as "old Europe" -- France and
Germany.

Most analysts have based their predictions of Moscow's
course of action on the view that the Kremlin would
decide its policy on a cold calculation of profit and
loss, notably regarding its stake in Iraqi oil fields
and Baghdad's eight billion dollar debt to Russia.

At least one, however, Eric Kraus of the Sovlink
investment bank, believed that Putin's policy on Iraq
was "deeply principled," noting that "the cynical
response would be to sell out, negotiating a side deal
with Washington."

In view of the "huge bribe" offered to Turkey, Kraus
said in reference to a US grant of six billion dollars
to Ankara allied to commercial loans of up to 30
billion dollars, "Russia, as a full member of the
Security Council, could undoubtedly do at least as
well."

Other analysts have noted that a principled stance by
Putin could coincide with self-interest.

Many Russians, particularly inside the conservative
military-diplomatic establishment, believe that Moscow
has derived few tangible benefits from earlier
concessions it has made to US foreign policy, notably
its reluctant acquiescence in the scrapping of the
1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty or the deployment
of US troops in former Soviet republics in central
Asia.

Resisting Washington over Iraq appeases this crucial
constituency as well as bringing Putin into line with
public opinion which is massively opposed to a US-led
war in Iraq.

It is noted too that Germany is by far Russia's
biggest trading partner.

But while the present Iraq policy will help with
establishing closer ties with Western Europe, Russian
spokesmen have been at pains to stress that Moscow's
criticism of US actions over Iraq do not mean it
regards itself as anything less than a friend.

"Our policy is not alien to the United States. We are
partners, and we are warning our partners against
making mistakes," Ivanov said in a BBC interview last
week.



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