On 7/18/17 22:23, Owen DeLong wrote:
> 
>> On Jul 17, 2017, at 16:36 , John Curran <jcur...@arin.net> wrote:

>>> What I would like to know is my gut feeling correct, which is that after 
>>> receiving an allocation of IPv6, nearly nobody ever returns to the well for 
>>> more, or at least not like it was back in the IPv4 days when ARIN had IPv4 
>>> address space to allocate, and thus there are no sticks?
> 
> Your gut is definitely correct to date. However, prior performance does not 
> predict future results. It’s true that a lot fewer>organizations are likely 
> to come back for additional IPv6 blocks and
all will certainly come back less frequently than in IPv4.>Nearly nobody
is probably true today. It will probably remain less than “most” for the
foreseeable future, but I don’t think >“nearly nobody” is a permanent state.

A fair number of initial allocations were way too small. e.g. pre 2004
LIR/ISP assignments.

Failure of imagination seems like a common trope for direct/ciritical
assignments which makes returning to the well inevitable.

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