That statement is true now, but will not stay that way.

On the residential side and even small business, I can see IPv4 public addresses becoming a "value added" service at an additional cost, with those without it sharing IPv4 public addresses via CGnat, or even an IPv6 only tier promoted for IPtv like Netflix, but saving the provider the cost of CGnat for that customer, thus offered at a discount.

On the consumer side, the big bandwith things (Netflix, Google, Facebook, Microsoft, etc.) are already on IPv6, and those with a dual stack connection are already sending and receiving the majority of their bits by IPv6. This will drive this portion of the market demand for additional IPv4 addresses down compared to the Build or Buy side of the enterprise market.

This proposal is to get those who want to expand their IPv4 holdings to dip their toes into the IPv6 pool. It is not directed at the big boys that are already there. Once they adopt some IPv6, the advantages to them will be made more clear, and the rest of their movement may happen voluntary.

It also has an effect on enterprise customers whose CxO's do not want to spend money on "unneeded" things. Once IT tells management that they cannot get any more IPv4 addresses without placing some IPv6 in place, they will get support for adding IPv6 from the bean counters. As long as IPv6 is considered "Optional", a lot of Orgs will not spend the money on it regardless of merit.

Albert Erdmann
Network Administrator
Paradise On Line Inc.

On Mon, 11 Nov 2019, David Farmer wrote:

If it is the case that "the vast majority of the current directed transfers are 
landing in the hands of the major ISP's and Mobile carriers, who have already taken a
large step toward IPv6 deployment," Then my question is how is this policy 
going to be effective in moving the needle for the deployment IPv6?
My primary concern regarding this policy is efficacy, will this policy actually 
increase the deployment IPv6? If not, why are we considering it? Your statement 
quoted
above to me calls into question how effective this policy can be.

Thanks

On Mon, Nov 11, 2019 at 4:09 PM <hostmas...@uneedus.com> wrote:
      Yes, this would be a good idea based upon the current IPv4 utilization
      policy, just without a specific percentage of IPv6 use.

      This would be a stronger step and statement to IPv6 adoption.  In reality,
      I suspect that the vast majority of the current directed transfers are
      landing in the hands of the major ISP's and Mobile carriers, who have
      already taken a large step toward IPv6 deployment, by using it in all
      network elements that they control. Any slowness in adoption is often due
      to Customer Provided Equipment that does not support IPv6. Newer standards
      like DOCSIS 3+ and 5G already mandate IPv6. Customer movement to these
      technologies to obtain more speed will drive even more IPv6 adoption. The
      documentation of their effort is often already available to ARIN.

      As to cost, every bit of traffic that is pushed to IPv6 represents a large
      portion of traffic that does not have to use expensive network elements
      such as Carrier Grade NAT because of lack of public IPv4 addresses.

      Albert Erdmann
      Network Administrator
      Paradise On Line Inc.

      On Mon, 11 Nov 2019, Fernando Frediani wrote:

      > Hello Albert
      >
      > Reading some comments about the proposal one thing that has been 
highlighted
      > is that the mechanism proposed to show IPv6 is operational is simply 
being
      > able to communicate to ARIN could be easily fooled I wanted to suggest 
a text
      > adjustment in order to make it more effective and still objective for 
ARIN
      > staff to be able to do this check.
      >
      > The new text could be something like: "Such operational network must at
      > minimum include an allocation or assignment by ARIN of IPv6 address 
space
      > under the same Org ID receiving the transferred IPv4 space. Such Org 
must be
      > able to prove this IPv6 space is being routed by using it to 
communicate with
      > ARIN and by providing ARIN the documented network deployment details to 
prove
      > IPv6 is operational."
      >
      > This is not something new to be done as it is similar that the 
justification
      > process which has always been done for IPv4, with the specific 
differences.
      > It's important to highlight that this doesn't mean one must prove it 
has 100%
      > IPv6 deployment, but rather that it is operational and in fact in used 
by
      > internal devices, staff, customers, etc rather than just announced to 
the
      > internet and used in a single tiny network just for Internet browsing.
      > I think is reasonable to trust ARIN staff to evaluate at their 
discretion as
      > three is precedent in the NRPM and it is not very difficult to 
differentiate
      > both scenarios. In short words, a commitment to IPv6 and having it
      > operational doesn't mean 100% deployment.
      >
      > Best regards
      > Fernando
      >
      > On 11/11/2019 17:34, hostmas...@uneedus.com wrote:
      >> I have a request for any numbers on IPv6 adoption of those who have
      >> received directed transfers in the last year, or any other available
      >> period.
      >>
      >> I have looked at some of the blocks that have been transferred, and 
most of
      >> them seem to be obtained by larger ISP or Mobile Wireless providers 
that
      >> are already well known adopters of IPv6. Such providers would of course
      >> have no issues meeting the standards of the Draft Policy.
      >>
      >> What I would like to find out is what percentage are in the position 
of not
      >> having any IPv6 in place, and therefore might be adversely affected.
      >>
      >> Thanks,
      >>
      >> Albert Erdmann
      >> Network Administrator
      >> Paradise On Line Inc.
      >>
      >> On Thu, 7 Nov 2019, Owen DeLong wrote:
      >>
      >>>
      >>>
      >>>       On Nov 6, 2019, at 13:40 , Fernando Frediani 
<fhfredi...@gmail.com>
      >>> wrote:
      >>>
      >>> I wanted to kindly request AC members attention to all objections 
based on
      >>> the argument that "ARIN is forcing someone to do something on their 
own
      >>> network”.
      >>>
      >>>
      >>> This is NOT true at all and not the propose of this proposal 
therefore I
      >>> believe these kind of objections have been refuted multiple times 
already.
      >>>
      >>>
      >>> I cannot speak for the entire AC, but this AC member (at least until 
the
      >>> end of the year) is well aware of your position on the matter. I do 
not,
      >>> however,
      >>> share this opinion.
      >>>
      >>> Insisting that people make an IPv6 address pingable in order to 
receive
      >>> IPv4 resources via transfer strikes me as an effort to push those who 
do
      >>> not wish to
      >>> do IPv6 into doing so.
      >>> As such, it is about forcing someone to do something on their own 
network.
      >>>
      >>> This is a valid objection to the policy. It may be an objection the
      >>> community decides to overrule or dismiss, but it is an objection,
      >>> nonetheless.
      >>>
      >>> You may not like that objection, and that’s fine. You’ve said so, and
      >>> we’ve heard you.
      >>>
      >>>       With regards the proposal this community has the right to 
estabilish
      >>> whatever conditions for the RIR registration related stuff it finds 
better
      >>>       for the RIR and the Internet to continue working healthy in the
      >>> region.
      >>>
      >>>
      >>> This is also true, but the people you are dismissing because you don’t
      >>> like their objections are just as much members of the community as you
      >>> are. They have
      >>> every right to object to the policy on whatever basis they feel is in
      >>> their best interests or that of the community.
      >>>
      >>>       For example the increasing cost imposed to all others by those 
who
      >>> wishes to remain in the past and the growing conflicts due to the 
current
      >>>       scenario are good point for this community to evaluate.
      >>>
      >>>
      >>> Here, I agree with you. I don’t agree that what is proposed will help
      >>> resolve that issue. I do think we will have many discussions about 
how to
      >>> resolve this
      >>> particular problem in the coming years.
      >>>
      >>>       Also I am finding some people having trouble with the mechanism 
to
      >>> validate IPv6 is operational and would really like to hear other 
points of
      >>>       view about more effective way that process can be validaded and 
be
      >>> more effective in their point of view.
      >>>
      >>>
      >>> This is a very tough question. I think that all of the corner cases 
that
      >>> would exist in response to this question are a perfectly valid reason 
not
      >>> to
      >>> inflict this proposed policy on the community.
      >>>
      >>> Owen
      >>>
      >>>
      >>> Regards
      >>> Fernando
      >>>
      >>> On Thu, 7 Nov 2019 16:06 Brett Frankenberger, 
<rbf+arin-p...@panix.com>
      >>> wrote:
      >>>       On Wed, Nov 06, 2019 at 12:55:50PM -0500, ARIN wrote:
      >>>       > On 1 November 2019, the ARIN Advisory Council (AC) accepted
      >>> "ARIN-prop-278:
      >>>       > Require IPv6 Before Receiving Section 8 IPv4 Transfers" as a 
Draft
      >>> Policy.
      >>>       >
      >>>       > Draft Policy ARIN-2019-19 is below and can be found at:
      >>>       >
      >>>       > Policy statement:
      >>>       >
      >>>       > In section 8.5.2, add the following language to the end of the
      >>> paragraph
      >>>       > entitled “Operational Use”:
      >>>       >
      >>>       > Such operational network must at minimum include an 
allocation or
      >>> assignment
      >>>       > by ARIN of IPv6 address space under the same Org ID receiving 
the
      >>>       > transferred IPv4 space. Such Org must be able to prove this 
IPv6
      >>> space is
      >>>       > being routed by using it to communicate with ARIN.
      >>>       >
      >>>       > In the event the receiver provides a written statement from 
its
      >>> upstream
      >>>       > that IPv6 connectivity is unavailable, the IPv6 requirement 
may be
      >>> waived.
      >>>
      >>>       Opposed for multiple reasons.
      >>>
      >>>       First, it should not be ARINs role to dictate the manner in 
which
      >>>       networks are operated.  We have routinely resisted the notion 
that,
      >>> for
      >>>       example, spammers should have resources revoked.  Now we're
      >>> proposing
      >>>       to deny resources to networks that decide not to operate IPv6.
      >>>
      >>>       Second, the proposal is premised on the idea that IP addresses 
are
      >>>       solely allocated for the purpose of operation on the public 
network,
      >>>       despite policy being clear that that's not the case. While 
that's
      >>>       certainly the predominate use case, there is nothing that 
prevents a
      >>>       private interconnected network from operating on
      >>>       ARIN-assigned/allocated public space without connecting to the
      >>>       Internet.  Are we proposing to deny any future transfers for 
such
      >>>       networks?  They would by their nature be unable to prove IPv6
      >>>       connectivity to ARIN (except as a stunt -- see below) and would 
be
      >>>       unable to get a statement from their upstream (since they would 
have
      >>>       none) as to the availability of IPv6 connectivity.
      >>>
      >>>       Third, this encourages meaningless stunts.  A network that does 
not
      >>>       desire to opreate V6 is not going to reconsider that decision 
as a
      >>>       result of this policy.  At best, they will get an IPv6 
allocation or
      >>>       assignment from ARIN, route it to one subnet, put a device on it
      >>> long
      >>>       enough to perform whatever ceremony ARIN requires to prove IPV6
      >>>       connectivity, get their transfer, and then shut it down (or 
maybe
      >>> leave
      >>>       it there in case they have to reperform the ceremony should they
      >>>       transfer additional addresses in the future).  More likely, this
      >>> will
      >>>       cause the creation of a new industry: organizations needing to
      >>> complete
      >>>       an IPv6 connectivity validation to get a IPv4 transfer processed
      >>> will
      >>>       sign a LOA granting their Ceremony Consultant the right to 
announce
      >>>       their IPv6 allocation/assignment long enough to complete the
      >>> ceremony,
      >>>       and their consultant will do all the work necessary to get the
      >>> required
      >>>       box checked in ARIN's systesm.
      >>>
      >>>       This will not drive IPv6 adoption.  I oppose the use of ARIN or
      >>>       community resources on stunts, and I oppose the creation of a 
"IPv6
      >>>       Ceremony Consultant" industry.
      >>>
      >>>            -- Brett
      >>>       _______________________________________________
      >>>       ARIN-PPML
      >>>       You are receiving this message because you are subscribed to
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      >>>       Please contact i...@arin.net if you experience any issues.
      >>>
      >>> _______________________________________________
      >>> ARIN-PPML
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      >>>
      >>>
      >>>
      >>>
      > _______________________________________________
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Networking & Telecommunication Services
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University of Minnesota  
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Minneapolis, MN 55414-3029   Cell: 612-812-9952
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