____________________________________
From: r...@tristatestormwatch.com
To: asburyst...@aol.com
Sent: 1/20/2011 1:58:15 P.M. Eastern Standard Time
Subj: Weather Update - January 20th - Noon
Approaching StormSNOW TONIGHT BEGINS AROUND MIDNIGHT AND ENDS BY 7AM
BITTER COLD THIS WEEKEND WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR 20 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS
THREAT FOR ANOTHER STORM NEXT TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY
Membership Feedback
JANUARY 20TH - 12 NOON
The guidance is strongly indicating that the developing storm will be a
bit stronger and closer to the coast. This will result in more snow for
northern sections, but less to the south. Also, because the storm will be a
bit closer to the coast, an east wind will likely cause the precipitation
to as rain along the immediate coast.
The snow will start a bit before midnight......the end time of 6am or 7am
still looks good.
Snow accumulation forecast:
North of I-78 and New York City - 4 to 7 inches
Between I-195 and I-78 - 3 to 6 inches
Immediate coastal communities of Monmouth County and northern Ocean (
including Neptune) - Precipitation will start as rain then change to snow - 2
to 5 inches
South of I-195 and Philly - 2 to 4 inches except 1 to 3 inches for
coastal sections of central Ocean County and southward and all areas below the
A.C. Expressway
JANUARY 20TH - BRIEF MORNING UPDATE
Early morning guidance is a bit more "amped up" with tonight's storm.
This leads to a couple of possibilities....a slight increase in snow totals,
particularly over northern /central NJ as well as the NYC area and
secondly, the possibility of some mixing over southeast NJ.
Not going to change the forecast right now but may update again around
noon.
JANUARY 20TH - 6AM
A developing area of low pressure just off the southern New Jersey coast
tonight will deliver a quick period of snow later tonight. Snow will
develop around or just after midnight but will end by around 6am on Friday.
Although the snow will be fall over a short period of time, 2 to 5 inches of
snow are still likely area wide. Snow will have ended by the morning
commute but there will be slippery roadways.
The coldest air of the season follows the storm and daytime highs on
Saturday will be around 20 with low to mid 20s on Sunday. Overnight lows
Saturday night and Sunday night will be in the single digits.
A storm coming out of the deep south will make a run at us in the
Tuesday/Wednesday time period. The cold arctic high pressure system that will
give us the cold weekend will be sliding offshore so it is a timing issue on
whether we get snow, rain or a combination of both from this storm. If the
cold high to our north moves offshore far enough, southeast winds would
warm us up and change any snow to rain. If the cold high is still to our
north, the precipitation type would be predominantly snow.
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Tri-State Storm Watch 1234 Any Street Shark River Hills NJ USA
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Steve Herman, Asbury Tower, 1701 Ocean Ave
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
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