steve herman, 805 6th ave, AP
____________________________________
From: r...@tristatestormwatch.com
To: asburyst...@aol.com
Sent: 2/10/2012 1:50:25 P.M. Eastern Standard Time
Subj: Weather Update - Feb 10th - Noon
Approaching StormRAIN DEVELOPS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN MIXES WITH AND
CHANGES TO SNOW BY MORNING
SNOW ENDS AROUND MIDDAY SATURDAY/OFF AND ON FLURRIES MAY LINGER INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT WATCHING FOR A BURST OF SNOW POSSIBLY DEVELOPING
SATURDAY
AFTERNOON
1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED
Membership Feedback
FEBRUARY 10TH - 12 NOON
Brief update to discuss a developing trend on the forecast guidance. An
inverted trough will be hanging back westward from the offshore storm
system Saturday afternoon and the guidance seems to be keying in on the
central
NJ/northern NJ area for this trough to set up. What this means is that a
band of a heavier burst of snow could occur in this area Saturday
afternoon.
Inverted trough situations are difficult to pin down because they usually
impact a fairly narrow area, but the forecast models are converging on our
area for Saturday afternoon. Sometimes these can produce a persistent
band of snow that persists over the same area....something to watch out for
tomorrow.
My computer access will be limited this weekend, I will try to put out
brief updates on this site, but no further e-mails will be sent
FEBRUARY 10TH - 8AM
Developing low pressure ahead of an arctic cold front will develop
precipitation in the area tonight. When temps to near 50 today and in the 30s
tonight, precipitation will be in the form of rain at the start but as the
storm deepens offshore, colder air will be drawn in from the north and the
rain will mix with and change to snow. The changeover will occur before
morning over inland sections and at the coast around or just after daybreak.
Snow will continue through the morning and taper off the flurries around
midday. Total accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected region wide
although the higher end of the range has a higher probability over inland
sections and in northern NJ. Roadways should see just a slushy accumulation.
Although snow may end around Noon, flurries may continue on and off
through the afternoon and evening. With temps falling Saturday afternoon and
continue to fall to near 20 Saturday night, roadways could become slippery
Saturday night.
A cold day on Sunday will be followed by moderation early next week
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Tri-State Storm Watch 1234 Any Street Shark River Hills NJ USA
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