Chandan Da: Thanks for your views on this point. For me, it is a very balanced 
and reasonable view. 

These are issues that are not easy to get a good handle on Uttam. I don't 
necessarily believe ANY govt.'s claims on such matters. They are, at best, 
half-truths.

Having said that, if we look at the Chinese acknowledgement that they are 
making a "run-of-the-river" hydropower "tunnel", it does NOT
mean "diverting" the river away some place else. What it means is that they are 
diverting the water to run thru a tunnel and back into the river, while
generating power  during the run thru the tunnel. But even here  can be 
half-truths and  misleading claims, like there are in the  Lower Subansiri
HEP project, which India claims to be a "run-of-the-river" HEP project and thus 
claiming there will be no reduction of water-flow. But what India does not
tell you, unless challenged, is that:

The Subansiri water will be impounded daily for about 20 hours, to build up the 
height of the water column in the reservoir, so that they can generate
maximum power by releasing it for the remaining four hours in the evening. 

Now, the claim that it does not affect the total flow of water may be 
technically true. But the fact that every evening the Subansiri will flood and 
most of the day will run dry,
will have a huge impact on the lives of the people downstream and a wholesale 
destruction of the habitat of all living things that have adapted to living
in and with the river over millenia.

And if you look into the impact of sudden release of massive amounts of water 
to prevent a dam collapse after a sudden spurt in rainfall or a cloudburst,
like has been done by power generators in every dam in the NE in recent 
decades, it could mean a calamity of unprecedented proportions, not just for
those in the Subansiri valley, but much farther downstream on the Brahmaputra 
valley even.

Now looking back on the Tsangpo damming in Tibet, surely it will impact flow 
downstream during the dry season, but not like it would be if it were to be 
diverted AWAY from the river ( for irrigation or driniking water etc.) and not 
in the total flow of the Brahmaputra river. Because the Brahmaputra flow is a 
result of not just Tsangpo alone, it also has Lohit and Dibang ( in the dry 
season) that contribute snowmelt waters, even though to a lesser extent than
the Tsangpo.

If the snowmelt water continues to reduce as is predicted, the Tibetan 
hydropower project could become dysfunctional.  So the Chinese could impound
the water in a reservoir to use it as it sees fit. THAT would be when it will 
seriously impact the Brahmaputra in the dry season.  But during the wet season,
the Brahmaputra gets its flow from rainfall south of the Himalayas and thus 
would not feel the impact of a small Chinese impoundment in Tibet. But that
too could change if China begins to build a series of dams on the Tsangpo all 
the way down to near the border at Arunachal. That could have very serious
impact on the Brahmaputra.


That is just ONE aspect of the issues. THere are many more.



Uttam Kumar Borthakur

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