>> The continued rise of AJAX would seem to suggest that the browser is
still going strong , at least to me anyway. Client side scripting has come
on leaps and bounds since the dark old days of DHTML . There are several
APIs for doing cross browser AJAX some of which feature drawing apis which
will get you close to the flash look . 
It will undoubtedly be harder than flash and not as slick.

No doubt that the browser is currently the dominant mechanism for, well, web
browsing. Whether this will continue to be the case into the foreseeable
future was my question, put another way.

Already the need exists to go outside the provisions of browser protocols to
access multimedia content. Admittedly, extensions (or plugins) are included
in the protocols to accommodate multimedia but there are plenty of
non-browser technologies in use as well - chat clients, skype, newsreaders
and the like.

>> For me Flash is an unacceptable compromise in any website <snip> What
gets me is that it doesn't degrade , at all . you don't have the plugin or
even the latest version of the plugin you don't get the site .

Yet according to Macromedia's own (biased?) statistics Flash has a greater
dominance on the web than any single brand of browser:

Browser stats put the top two brands combined at 94% total compared to Flash
at 98%:

http://www.w3schools.com/browsers/browsers_stats.asp

Flash stats:

http://www.macromedia.com/software/player_census/flashplayer/tech_breakdown.
html

I'm not advocating the use of Flash here, just pointing out that already
it's usual to go outside the base browser technology to deliver content
that's more complex than text and still images.

>>The success of the web for me is in its use of open standards , flash is
going the wrong my IMHO.

>>Ever tried navigating a flash site with speech reader , braille pad ,
set-top-box browser , text mode only or mobile phone ? 

Usability issues abound, certainly, but open standards are only as good as
the tools available to work with them. Take your speech reader example, for
example. I'd love to be able to test my sites for use on a speech reader but
there are no open source speech readers around (afaik) and the commercial
varieties are pricey. You've got a point with mobile as far as text based
content goes, but what about feeding mobile devices with audio/video
content? Here again we're looking at extensions with the browser protocols
acting as middleware.

>>I don't think plugins have been as important as you think , take google
for example there flagship sites use no plugins at all and are some of the
best and , most crucially , the busiest on the web. 

Sure, but only for highly specialized applications and with very large
amounts of money invested on the server side to gather, process, store,
format, and present the output content. 

>> Amazon , yahoo and ebay are the same , simple standards compliant sites
with good content. 

To an extent standardization is responsible for their success, and also for
the success of Flash. Relational database underpins these sites on the
server side, a technology that's ubiquitous on hosting services. And that's
the other side of Flash's success story as well, that open source Flash
servers are available that allow hosting companies to support it
inexpensively. So, I'll buy the argument that standardization is the key,
but...

>>If you don't want to conquer the web then use flash but otherwise stick
with the standards and help make them better.

As desirable as this may be, is the world evolving faster than any standard?


Let's generalize beyond Flash, and think beyond the browser too, and beyond
the religions of operating systems (open source v. Wintel etc). Is a browser
even necessary? What would it take to cut the browser out of the picture
entirely? (and to the inevitable response of 'why would you want to do that'
I hold that it's a process that's already underway and that the Beeb will
need to adapt.) 

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Amias Channer
Sent: Tuesday, August 02, 2005 9:01 AM
To: backstage@lists.bbc.co.uk
Subject: Re: [backstage] 3D?
<snip>


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