THE BISMARCK TRIBUNE
09-23-2008: news-opinion

Pipeline capacity remains big N.D. oil issue
Simply put, North Dakota's daily crude oil production will surpass the
capacity, by rail and pipeline, to carry it to market by as soon as
the end of the year.

This "bottleneck" has roots in new discoveries in the Bakken formation
in western North Dakota, development of improved technologies and
techniques for tapping that Bakken oil, continuing demand for
petroleum based products and a much higher per barrel price for crude.

Moving crude oil to market isn't simple. Pipelines are expensive and,
to date, rightfully the province of private enterprise creatures of
supply (mostly) and demand. But the state can help provide quality
information about the Bakken formation and what levels of production
it can sustain. The state can make sure that while it protects the
environment, it also ensures permitting processes are efficient,
timely and fair. The state can use its bully pulpit to keep the
pipeline issue front and center for the petroleum industry.

And there should at least be some discussion about incentives for
pipeline construction.

North Dakota crude production was about 125,000 barrels per day in
2007. By March, that figure was 147,000 barrels per day. At a field
hearing for the U.S. Senate Energy and Water Appropriations Committee
recently in Bismarck, Sen. Byron Dorgan put daily production at
166,000 barrels per day.

Rail and pipeline capacity for taking North Dakota crude to market:
188,000 barrels per day.

For a nation importing too much foreign oil and forced to accept the
terrible economic consequences, the North Dakota crude bottleneck is a
problem wanting a solution now.

The price of crude has been astronomical, at one point nearly $150 per
barrel and now hovering at the $100 per barrel mark after spending
much of the past 15 to 20 years under $25 per barrel. The price of oil
has been rising steadily since 2003.

The higher price makes Bakken production and pipeline expansion more
realistic. But measured, stable production from the Bakken is more
important. The pipeline companies which work off narrow margins need
to have reasonable expectations that Bakken production can keep any
new pipeline at capacity for 20 years. Reaching that conclusion, while
working with highly competitive and independent Williston Basin
marketers and producers, can be difficult. Much of the information at
stake is proprietary. And that might be one of the areas the state can
do some real good providing and facilitating the exchange of
information.

It's not like resources haven't been spent recently on pipelines in
North Dakota. In the past three years, $584 million has gone into
pipelines in this state.

Meanwhile, rail shipping of crude needs to expand and existing
pipelines enhanced where possible. Hopefully, pipelines already in the
planning stage will materialize. The conversation about additional
refineries needs to continue, with emphasis on free enterprise. And
the state needs to maintain a high profile for the Bakken and its
sweet crude.


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