Not all applications report  smooth % complete.  So the calculation of time 
remaining involve the initial estimate as well.  Given the bad information 
given for both % complete and initial estimate, there is no method of 
predicting how much longer the task will take that is completely right.  The 
most reliable appears to be to combine the initial estimate the DCF (if in use 
for the project) the % complete, and the time spent already (the only really 
well known item in the list) to come up with an estimate.

-----Original Message-----
From: boinc_dev [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Jon 
Sonntag
Sent: Saturday, February 08, 2014 2:54 PM
To: BOINC Developers Mailing List @berkeley.edu
Subject: [boinc_dev] Estimated Time Remaining

Why would 11% complete in 1.5 hours have an estimated 72 hours remaining
when it should be closer to 14 hours remaining?  Does BOINC need a math
tutor?  ;-)

I find it interesting that the estimates on a Q6600 are correct but on both
of my i7 hosts they are way too high.

All hosts have all been running the app for several weeks so any learning
curve by the smart estimate algorithm should have adjusted the numbers
already, right?  How long should it take BOINC to get the estimates
correct?  I would think less than an hour when percent complete is totally
linear.  Or is the problem the that the benchmarks do not take into account
hyper-threading which skews the estimates?

Jon Sonntag
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