If after 5 minutes, a workunit  is 10% done and after 10 minutes it is 20%
done, I don't need a domain expert.  A 4th grade student should be able to
calculate that it will take a total of 50 minutes to complete and that 40
minutes remain.

Jon Sonntag

P.S. I went to a tax professional once. They charged a lot and they got it
wrong.  The IRS corrected it and sent me a refund.



On Tue, Feb 11, 2014 at 6:18 AM, Charles Elliott <[email protected]>wrote:

> Although I am a CS grad student, I urge you to reconsider choosing CS grad
> students to work on this problem and consider instead using domain experts
> in statistics and/or Operations Research or Systems, or perhaps even an
> interdisciplinary team.  Old research shows  that it is much more
> cost-effective to hire domain experts and teach them to program computers
> than it is to hire CS grads and try to teach them the domain.  Suppose your
> income tax preparation was a complex process.  Which would you want do it:
> a
> CS grad who wrote the fastest program possible, or a tax law expert who
> could save you months of work on an IRS tax audit and keep you out of jail?
>
> Charles Elliott
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: boinc_dev [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
> David Anderson
> Sent: Monday, February 10, 2014 10:58 PM
> To: [email protected]
> Subject: Re: [boinc_dev] Estimated Time Remaining, frictional reporting ...
>
> In general we've put statistics-gathering into server rather than client
> because
> - it gives uniform data over the entire host population
> - it puts the data all in one place
>
> Currently these statistics are just the bare essentials:
> mean and standard deviation of elapsed time, turnaround time, and
> credit-related quantities.
> We maintain these per (host, app version) and per app version.
> We use them to estimate job duration and to compute credit.
>
> As you point out, there are many other types of info we could track, and
> many visualizations that could offered.
> This is an area were having a few CS grad students working on BOINC would
> be
> a big help.
>
> -- David
>
> On 10-Feb-2014 4:01 PM, Max Power wrote:
> >
> > Many types of distributed computing applications don't due uniform
> > processing (and reporting on percent done) like SETI, Astropulse or
> > Einstein ... and the biological science applications (and image
> > rendering ones) have taken some time to discipline the reporting of
> percent done.
> >
> > What the BOINC Client does not do is use the hashsums of computing
> > applications (as sometimes they run in pairs as in Climate Prediction)
> > to form a local knowledge base of
> >
> > -- work unit size (average, median, standard deviation)
> > -- work unit computation length  (average, median, standard deviation)
> > -- completed work unit average size  (average, median, standard
> > deviation)
> > -- disk use  (average, median, standard deviation)
> > -- these could be uplinked to the BOINC design groups and the projects
> > themselves ... as you probably have to do an SQL query to find this
> > stuff out
> > -- THE "STATS" tab is almost totally devoid of usable statistics ...
> > and the ones above relating to runtime are graphable and usable ...
> >
> >
> > I am not saying this will fix the wonky estimated run time problem ...
> > only regular application reporting to the BOINC client will ever do
> > that. However, the averaged knowledge from these parameters could
> > improve it when the daft application is not reporting.
> >
> >
> > MP, DSN @ H
> >
> >
> > -----Original Message----- From: McLeod, John
> > Sent: 10 February 2014 05:48
> > To: Jon Sonntag ; BOINC Developers Mailing [email protected]
> > Subject: Re: [boinc_dev] Estimated Time Remaining
> >
> > Not all applications report  smooth % complete.  So the calculation of
> > time remaining involve the initial estimate as well.  Given the bad
> > information given for both % complete and initial estimate, there is
> > no method of predicting how much longer the task will take that is
> > completely right.  The most reliable appears to be to combine the
> > initial estimate the DCF (if in use for the project) the % complete,
> > and the time spent already (the only really well known item in the list)
> to come up with an estimate.
> >
> >
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