This editorial from The Economist is perhaps the most brilliant and cogent
position statement on Iraq that I have read yet.     In sum, it makes the
case as to why it is necessary to attack Iraq, why UN support would be a
good idea, and ultimatel why the US must attack Iraq without UN support,
should it be refused.

JDG



George Bush at the UN 

Confronting Iraq

Sep 12th 2002 
>From The Economist print edition


Saddam Hussein must be dealt with�by the United Nations if possible,
without it if need be

TO HEAR his many critics tell it, George Bush had serious charges to answer
this week before the United Nations court of international opinion. The
leader of the free world stands accused of threatening to disrupt
international law and order. America's insistence that Iraq be stripped of
its illicit weapons of mass destruction, as a matter of urgency, by force
if necessary, is anyway surely a ruse, since Mr Bush has publicly admitted
his aim is to topple the regime of Saddam Hussein. Although America has
called on others to join it, Mr Bush has said he will go it alone if
necessary. Such rampant unilateralism undermines the very authority of the
United Nations.

The charges are preposterous. Yet Mr Bush had some explaining to do. In a
democracy, any leader contemplating going to war has a duty to explain�in
Mr Bush's case to Congress and the American people, but also to the wider
world�why this needs to be done. His speech to the UN General Assembly on
September 12th came too late for The Economist to gauge its impact. But
whether the world stands with him in dealing with the menace Iraq poses, as
he has asked it to, or against him, it is not Mr Bush who needs hauling
into the dock, but Iraq's dangerous regime, and those members of the UN
Security Council which for years have helped Iraq wriggle out of the
disarmament obligations the council itself imposed.

Ends and means
�Not without United Nations approval� is the near-universal chant that has
greeted Mr Bush's insistence that doing nothing about Iraq's illicit
weapons is no longer an option�as if the Security Council were the moral
conscience of the world. Would that it were. It is instead a collection of
powerful states, all pursuing their own interests with what one can only
hope is a sense of wider responsibility. There was nothing high-minded, for
example, about Russia's refusal to countenance military action to halt
Slobodan Milosevic's ethnic cleansing of Kosovo. It backed the butcher of
the Balkans to the bitter end. Some still claim that NATO's intervention
there was illegal, since it lacked explicit UN endorsement. Yet 19 of the
world's strongest democracies were surely right to act where the UN,
divided, could not.

The case of Iraq is different, admittedly. Saddam Hussein has killed far
more of his own people and his neighbours than Mr Milosevic ever did; and
he has sent his armies and his rockets well beyond Iraq's borders. The
Security Council, at first letting principle triumph over pusillanimity,
repeatedly declared him in open breach of his disarmament obligations. What
it failed to do was rectify that situation. When it came to the
crunch�authorising force to back up the inspectors' right to search out and
destroy Iraq's nuclear, chemical and biological stocks�first Russia and
China backed off, keen to close all weapons accounts, see UN sanctions
lifted and return to oil-business-as-usual. Then France did the same,
leaving America and Britain to attempt to hold the line.

The result has been much worse than stalemate: as a report by the
International Institute for Strategic Studies points out, Mr Hussein has
hung on to his still-hidden arsenal and has had four years free of
inspections to restore and conceal as much as he could of what the
inspectors had earlier destroyed (see article). To those who, when told
that Iraq is a mortal threat to the peace of the world, say �prove it�, the
only sane reply is: what more proof could anyone need?

If it was right to act in Kosovo where the Security Council was stymied, it
is surely right to act in Iraq where the council has failed, with
potentially disastrous consequences, to deal with what it has accepted
itself is an even more potent threat. Then ask yourself, who is undermining
the authority of the UN and its Security Council�those who seek to uphold
its repeated resolutions on the nuclear, chemical and biological frisking
of Iraq, or those who stand in the way?



Credible threats
Yet while it may sometimes, regrettably, be necessary to act without UN
approval, isn't America guilty at best of poor judgment, at worst of
hypocrisy, in calling not just for inspectors to return to disarm Iraq but
for Mr Hussein to be turfed out of power? Won't he be even more tempted to
use his horrific weapons rather than see his regime destroyed?

The fact is, it has taken the credible threat of massive force to get
Iraq's�and others'�attention. Without it, Mr Hussein would not even be
hinting at new inspections (someday, with strings attached). Russia would
not now be forced to contemplate how closely to move alongside Mr Bush in
order to protect its business dealings in a post-Saddam Iraq. France's
president would not this week be reversing himself, to propose a tough new
Security Council resolution demanding that Iraq admit inspectors within
three weeks, or else (though the �or else� still has no force to it). 

If Mr Hussein's only concern were to stay in power, he could have done so
by handing over his banned weapons and had sanctions lifted. Instead he has
treated inspections as a continuation of the Gulf war by other means. That
suggests he has more dangerous plans. It is plausible to conclude that Iraq
will not give up its weapons of mass destruction unless he goes. And if he
were to surprise the world, and hand them over after all? Then even Mr Bush
might conclude that the threat he poses had been suitably deflated. 

It is the Security Council's failure to rid Iraq of its weapons of mass
destruction, not a gun-slinger's determination to look for trouble, that
prompts Mr Bush to insist that America, with others where possible, must
finish the job. Yet it is not too late for Russia, China and others who say
they want him to work with the UN rather than around it to come up with a
properly effective plan for dealing promptly with the threat Iraq's weapons
pose. All they have lacked is the will. And for his part, Mr Bush knows
that the more international support he can muster, the better, not just to
contain and disarm Iraq, but to set the place on its feet properly again
once the disarming is done. Why else bother to take his case to the UN at
all? But, with or without the UN, disarmed Iraq must be.


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