Robert Seeberger wrote:
OK - predictions for the future. My guess is that Iraq will announce compliance. Inspectors may even get into the country. At some point, the inspectors will be barred or hindered, and Iraq will start arguing over the fine print (something along the lines that no-drive zones don't affect helicopters sounds like a dispute waiting to happen...).To avert war, Iraq, as a first step, must declare its intention to comply with the resolution within seven days. After a period of 30 days it must fully disclose the extent of its weapons programmes. Any mis-steps by President Saddam now will invite US-led aggression.
US and UK will call for action at Iraq's non-compliance, but the UNSC will stall and argue and Iraq will have the chance to move it's weapons to a different location...
I hope I'm wrong, but I think the UN can't stop any country doing anything if that country is determined enough...
Cheers
Russell C.
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