On Thu, Feb 06, 2003 at 11:17:09PM -0500, Erik Reuter wrote:
> Also, over the period from 1888 to 2001, Seigel tabulates that the total
> US stock market annualized real return for Republicans was 7.20% but
> only 6.48% for Democrats. I don't have GDP data tabulated back to 1888,
> so I don't know if GDP follows the same trend, but my guess would be
> yes, since stock returns have tracked GDP relatively well over longer
> time periods. Have the Democrats gotten better with time, or is there a
> flaw in the analysis?

I spent most of my free time this weeking searching for GDP data
before 1929, and I finally found it. But I haven't had time to do any
simulations or analysis with it yet. I will get to it later this week,
though, and if anyone is interested I will post the results.

In the meantime, here is the source I found for historical GDP data back
to 1789 (!) :

  http://www.eh.net/hmit/gdp/

Note that the data prior to 1929 is somewhat less reliable than
that after 1929 (there is a link on that page which explains their
methodology and sources)

-- 
"Erik Reuter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>       http://www.erikreuter.net/
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