Can I be removed from this email list please?
> On Feb 10, 2024, at 9:59 PM, MK <playbg-...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
> Hi Ian,
>
> Thanks for the additional info. Unfortunately it didn't help
> me understand anything better or answer my own question. I'm
> still trying and hope that you or others will continue this
> subject to help me with it, which will benefit all in the end.
>
> For the cubeless equity of the opening position, I'm going by
> the rollout results, (which had taken 7 months to do), from:
>
> https://bkgm.com/openings/rollouts.html
>
> In the summary section towards the end, it says:
>
> "Your average equity if you win the opening roll is +.0393."
>
> So, if I run 10,000 cubeless games with "X" always winning the
> opening roll, "X" will win 393 points, i.e. 3.93%, more than "O"?
>
> =================================================================
> When the mutant ("X") is on roll (i.e. won the opening roll),
>
> GNUbg ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA:cAkAAAAAAAAA evaluate says:
>
> Win W(g) W(bg) L(g) L(bg) Equity Cubeful
> 2 ply: 52.5 14.9 0.7 12.5 0.5 +0.076 +0.099
>
> 2-ply cubeless equity +0.076
> 52.5 14.9 0.7 - 47.5 12.5 0.5
> Cubeful equities:
> 1. No double +0.099
> 2. Double, pass +1.000 (+0.901)
> 3. Double, take -0.171 (-0.270)
>
> How do I relate any of these numbers to the +0.0393 above? Why is
> the cubeless equity +0.076?
>
> I suppose the cubeful equity +0.099 is somehow extrapolated using
> some formulas and I should accept it as just that?
>
> =================================================================
>
> When I set cube to 2 owned by the bot ("O"), with "X" on roll,
>
> GNUbg ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA:QQkAAAAAAAAA evaluate says:
>
> Win W(g) W(bg) L(g) L(bg) Equity Cubeful
> 2 ply: 52.5 14.9 0.7 12.5 0.5 +0.076 -0.086
>
> Cubeless equity is the same. Shouldn't the cubeful equity be
> +0.076 - 0.171 = -0.095? Why is it -0.086? Which one is correct?
>
> =================================================================
>
> If I set the cube to 2 owned by mutant ("X") who is also on roll,
>
> GNUbg ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA:UQkAAAAAAAAA evaluate says:
>
> Win W(g) W(bg) L(g) L(bg) Equity Cubeful
> 2 ply: 52.5 14.9 0.7 12.5 0.5 +0.076 +0.255
>
> 2-ply cubeless equity +0.076
> 52.5 14.9 0.7 - 47.5 12.5 0.5
> Cubeful equities:
> 1. No double +0.255
> 2. Double, pass +1.000 (+0.745)
> 3. Double, take -0.171 (-0.426)
>
> Cubeless equity is still the same. Should I try to understand why
> the D/T is the same as centered cube but now the cubeful equity is
> +0.255? Is it +0.076 + 0.171 = +0.247 close enough or what is it??
>
> =================================================================
>
> So, again, what I would like to know is if I run 10,000 games from
> each of the above three positions, what results should I expect?
>
> In other words, which one of these many different equity numbers
> (with no obvious correspondences for me) do I use to multiply by
> 10,000 to predict by how much the mutant will win or lose?
>
> MK
>
