True. And this election has a lot of unknowns. First, how and how many of will the newly register young vote. Second, there appears to be a movement of older blacks to the republican party. Meaning Bush may get 17-19 % versus 4-5. But for Kerry, this could be significant.
All in all, like the Chinese curse: May you live in interesting times. And we, folks, live in very interesting times. Andy -----Original Message----- From: Larry C. Lyons Given the way the electoral college is structured, to me this sort of presentation i smore meaningful. The only drawback I've seen in this sort of poll is that in an individual state the sample size of any one poll may not be large enough to ensure any real reliability. larry On Wed, 20 Oct 2004 19:37:28 -0500, Andy Ousterhout > The site is very interesting. If you hover over a state, the actual > percentages show. It will be interesting to see how accurate these types of > predictors are. This is really going to be a nail biter. > > -----Original Message----- > From: dana tierney > > so... that's good news right? > > grin, duck and run... > > Dana > > On Wed, 20 Oct 2004 19:09:13 -0500, Andy Ousterhout > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Same sight, updated. Yesterday it estimated Kerry at 281. > > > > Andy > > > > > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: dana tierney [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > Sent: Wednesday, October 20, 2004 7:05 PM > > To: CF-Community > > Subject: electoral college > > > > http://www.electoral-vote.com/ > > > > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Purchase from House of Fusion, a Macromedia Authorized Affiliate and support the CF community. http://www.houseoffusion.com/banners/view.cfm?bannerid=36 Message: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=i:5:131948 Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/threads.cfm/5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=s:5 Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5 Donations & Support: http://www.houseoffusion.com/tiny.cfm/54
