It's the middle part of Long Island right? I suspect that it was counted as urban, yes. This is one of the hypotheses that are considered in that article, which I don't consider definitive by the way, just apparently well-researched.
As for Latins... well. Remember that I worked in the Democratic phone bank for New Mexico. This does not correspond to my experience here. What I saw was that the Hispanics in the cities were overwhelmingly Democratic and planning to vote, but neither side called them much and a lot of those votes were lost by unannounced changes in the precinct boundaries. Why this happened in a state with a Democratic governor and a city with a Democratic mayor confuses me, but that is the way it looked from here. Outside of the cities the very traditional Hispanic villages were very swayed by arguments about abortion and integrity (gag) and were quite hostile. That sort of 300-year-old Hispanic village does not exist outside of New Mexico as far as I know though so I am not sure you can extrapolate. Amongst Anglos, the very affluent areas were heavily Republican as you wold expect weapons engineers to be. The university community was overwhelmingly Democratic and almost universally cast absentee ballots in order to leave a paper trail, because of concern about the voting machines. Just enough of the absentee and provisional ballots were disqualified to carry Albuquerque. You can say that the pollsters made massive mistakes but I find that statistically unlikely and very different from what I heard talking to people. Dana On 1/4/06, Sam <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I glanced at the article, but here's an idea. Nassau County is a > suburb of NYC yet it's now self-dependent and with a pop of 1.3 m is > bigger than most cities in the US. > A lot more of the Latino votes went to Bush than was expected. Also we > now know the exit polls were loaded by mostly polling woman and > minorities > > > On 1/4/06, Dana wrote: > > I was looking for a nice simple reference for the Kerry/urban link and > > only found this. Assuming this gentleman has his facts right the > > cities were expected to go for Kerry but in fact went for Bush, > > perhaps because suburbs were counted as urban, perhaps for more > > sinister reasons. I personally believe, based on what I saw here, that > > there was massive fraud in this election, but that is not my point in > > posting this, just that this analysis, which seems pretty detailed and > > researched, says that the cities did not go Kerry. > > > > http://www.retropoll.org/web_of_circumstance.htm > > > > Dana > > > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Message: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=i:5:190501 Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/threads.cfm/5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=s:5 Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5 Donations & Support: http://www.houseoffusion.com/tiny.cfm/54
