Cherry picking numbers there. That is the most conservative result for Gallup using last years turnout for likely voters.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/111211/Gallup-Daily-Obama-49-McCain-43.aspx Registered voters: 49-43 Likely Voters (expanded for new registrations): 51-45 Likely Voters (traditional model): 49-47 The two likely voter models have just been introduced so if you want to compare to previous Gallup polls you have to go off Registered Voters. Remains to be seen which of the LV models is more correct, but there is a reason they are producing an expanded model. This isn't 4 years ago. So we shall see. Judah On Thu, Oct 16, 2008 at 3:28 PM, Robert Munn <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Gallup daily tracking today - Obama 49, McCain 47 > > > On Thu, Oct 16, 2008 at 1:42 PM, Gruss wrote: > >> > Larry wrote: >> > I did. From what it looks like, Obama just needs to retain >> >> Based on polls. >> >> Even if there is no October surprise, there's still the Bradley effect. >> > > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Adobe® ColdFusion® 8 software 8 is the most important and dramatic release to date Get the Free Trial http://ad.doubleclick.net/clk;207172674;29440083;f Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:275011 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5
