Look at CA

.

On Tue, Mar 6, 2012 at 2:41 PM, Larry C. Lyons <larrycly...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Not necessarily so:
>
> An paper by Cristobal Young and Charles Varner found that while some
> $500,000-plus earners left the state, their rates of out-migration
> were broadly in line with the rates for the rest of the population,
> who were not subject to the tax.
> http://blogs.wsj.com/wealth/2011/04/20/millionaire-tax-didnt-chase-the-rich-from-new-jersey-study-says/
>
> Young and Varner, estimated the migration effect of New Jersey’s 2004
> tax increase on filers with incomes exceeding $500,000.  They found
> that while the net out-migration rate of this income group accelerated
> after the tax increase went into effect, so did the net outmigration
> rate of filers with incomes between $200,000 and $500,000, and by
> virtually the same amount.
>
> At most, the authors estimated, 70 filers earning more than $500,000
> might have left New Jersey between 2004 and 2007 because of the tax
> increase, costing the state an estimated $16.4 million in tax revenue.
>  The revenue gain from the tax increase over those years was an
> estimated $3.77 billion, meaning that out-migration — if there was any
> at all — reduced the estimated revenue gain by a mere 0.4 percent.
> http://www.cbpp.org/files/8-4-11sfp.p

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