http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/06/research_desk_reports_do_milli.html


On Wed, Mar 7, 2012 at 12:49 PM, Dana <dana.tier...@gmail.com> wrote:

> well this isn't peer-reviewed, but it looks authoritative
>
>
> On Wed, Mar 7, 2012 at 12:46 PM, Larry C. Lyons <larrycly...@gmail.com>wrote:
>
>>
>> numbers please or are you just making it up again. For best effect
>> follow the Young and Varner methodology. The data are publicly
>> available.
>>
>> On Tue, Mar 6, 2012 at 2:49 PM, Sam <sammyc...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> >
>> > Look at CA
>> >
>> > .
>> >
>> > On Tue, Mar 6, 2012 at 2:41 PM, Larry C. Lyons <larrycly...@gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>> >>
>> >> Not necessarily so:
>> >>
>> >> An paper by Cristobal Young and Charles Varner found that while some
>> >> $500,000-plus earners left the state, their rates of out-migration
>> >> were broadly in line with the rates for the rest of the population,
>> >> who were not subject to the tax.
>> >>
>> http://blogs.wsj.com/wealth/2011/04/20/millionaire-tax-didnt-chase-the-rich-from-new-jersey-study-says/
>> >>
>> >> Young and Varner, estimated the migration effect of New Jersey’s 2004
>> >> tax increase on filers with incomes exceeding $500,000.  They found
>> >> that while the net out-migration rate of this income group accelerated
>> >> after the tax increase went into effect, so did the net outmigration
>> >> rate of filers with incomes between $200,000 and $500,000, and by
>> >> virtually the same amount.
>> >>
>> >> At most, the authors estimated, 70 filers earning more than $500,000
>> >> might have left New Jersey between 2004 and 2007 because of the tax
>> >> increase, costing the state an estimated $16.4 million in tax revenue.
>> >>  The revenue gain from the tax increase over those years was an
>> >> estimated $3.77 billion, meaning that out-migration — if there was any
>> >> at all — reduced the estimated revenue gain by a mere 0.4 percent.
>> >> http://www.cbpp.org/files/8-4-11sfp.p
>> >
>> >
>>
>> 

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