Published: Monday, March 13, 2006
USA doesnt care what it'll
cost ... they want the FTAA opposition broken up THE INTERNATIONAL FORECASTER editor Bob Chapman writes: The
Summit of the Americas in Mar del Plata, Argentina was a stunning defeat for the
neocon program of free trade and globalization. It was rejected cold and
unequivocally and gave an unmistakable message to Mr. Bush who fled the
conference early leaving Mexicos President Fox to do his bidding. The outcome
was a disaster for the elitists. That was followed by the 20th anniversary
meeting of Mercosur, the common market of the south, at Puerto Iguazu,
Argentina. At that time the members were Argentina, Brazil, and
Uruguay, which the US is trying hard to dislodge, Paraguay, with Bolivia and
Chile as associate members. A month after the meeting Venezuela was admitted as
a new member. At the Uruguay meeting Venezuelas President Hugo Chavez Frias
proposed the 5,000-mile natural gas pipeline from Venezuela to Brazil and
Argentina branching into Bolivia and other nations. Those meetings were followed by announcements and
finally payment of IMF debt by Argentina and Brazil. That was followed by the
elections in Bolivia of Evo Morales and Michelle Bachelet in Chile. In late
January, Brazils President Lula stated the region was obligated to help
Bolivias political, economic and social stabilization. South America is now committed to deepening
integration of their economies and the rejection of the neocon Free Trade
Association of the Americas, FTAA. Now no longer under the heel of international
bankers they are no longer financially imprisoned and they have recovered their
autonomy. The December WTO Dohna Round of talks in Hong Kong exposed
the hypocrisy of so-called free trade. The major protagonists were Argentina and
Brazil who want true free trade or at least fair trade. The evolution in trade and foreign affairs for the region
has been helped by the willingness of Venezuelas President Chavez who not only
has politically stood behind Mercosur, but has bought sovereign bonds to relieve
financial pressures in the region and has been a strong foe against FTAA. This
group of leaders might not be what wed like, but they sure are a better
alternative to the elitist-one-world crowd. There are weak links in Mercosur and one is Uruguay. A
year ago Tabare Vazquez was elected as Uruguays first left leaning president.
He has embraced Hugo Chavez and Fidel Castro, but he is governing from the
center. He enjoys great popularity and uses whatever works. His previous history
as mayor of Montevideo was anti-neocon and anti-privatization. He has also
decentralized government. Prior to Vazquezs victory the country was hit by a
run on the banks, an 11% decline in GDP, unemployment of 20% and a crippling IMF
debt of $2.3 billion. Argentina defaulted; Uruguay has not. Uruguay was
previously known as the Switzerland of South America due to the similarity in
banking systems. By not devaluing he was able to raise $500 million in bonds
from foreign investors. He and his economic minister see foreign investments
being 20% of GDP by 2010. This approach has left Vazquez at odds with his
socialist neighbors. The beginning of this is a $1.8 billion foreign investment
in two cellulose plants along the Rio Plata separating Uruguay and Argentina.
Argentina is furious seeing pollution and Vazquez wont
back down. The case seems to be headed to the International Court of Justice in
The Hague, which will cancel the development for years. The World Bank would
cover 9% of the projects cost. If Vazquez presses harder hell come in conflict
with Mercosur. Uruguay and Paraguay are Mercosurs smallest members and
they believe they are being marginalized and that may be so. If they hook up
with the US, and that is what the neocons are up to, Uruguay could break away.
The US doesnt care what it will
cost -- they want the FTAA opposition broken up. In the long run if Uruguay does break away they will be a
big loser. A bilateral pact with the US will violate Mercosur rules. A US
agreement would lead to the exploitation of the country as CAFTA has done in
Central America. The US doesnt know what free trade
is. The international banks have
buried the country ... this is touch and go, well see what happens.
Bob Chapman THE
INTERNATIONAL FORECASTER Complete archives at http://www.sitbot.net/ Please let us stay on topic and be civil. OM
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