Since there are only two possible outcomes it pretty much normal. Actually binomial which will converge to normal given enough samples
Only thing that cans distort is that consecutive games are not independent (which is probably the case but do they have positive or negative correlation?) 2016-03-30 13:06 GMT+03:00 Рождественский Дмитрий <divx4...@yandex.ru>: > I think the error here is that the game outcome is not a normaly > distributed random value. > > Dmitry > > 30.03.2016, 12:57, "djhbrown ." <djhbr...@gmail.com>: > > Simon wrote: "I was discussing the results with a colleague outside > > of the Game AI area the other day when he raised > > the question (which applies to nearly all sporting events, > > given the small sample size involved) > > of statistical significance - suggesting that on another week > > the result might have been 4-1 to Lee Sedol." > > > > call me naive, but perhaps you could ask your colleague to calculate > > the probability one of side winning 4 games out of 5, and then say > > whether that is within 2 standard deviations of the norm. > > > > his suggestion is complete nonsense, regardless of the small sample > > size. perhaps you could ask a statistician next time. > > > > -- > > patient: "whenever i open my mouth, i get a shooting pain in my foot" > > doctor: "fire!" > > http://sites.google.com/site/djhbrown2/home > > https://www.youtube.com/user/djhbrown > > _______________________________________________ > > Computer-go mailing list > > Computer-go@computer-go.org > > http://computer-go.org/mailman/listinfo/computer-go > _______________________________________________ > Computer-go mailing list > Computer-go@computer-go.org > http://computer-go.org/mailman/listinfo/computer-go >
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