-Caveat Lector-

URL: http://www.canoe.ca/Columnists/margolis_dec22.html

December 22, 2002

Details of U.S. victory are a little premature

By ERIC MARGOLIS -- Contributing Foreign Editor

On the frigid night of Dec. 24, 1979, Soviet airborne forces seized Kabul airport. 
Elite Alpha
Group commandos sped to the presidential palace, burst into the bedroom of Afghan
President Hafizullah Amin and gunned him down. Columns of Soviet armour crossed the
border and raced south toward Kabul.

It took Soviet forces only a few days to occupy Afghanistan. They installed a puppet 
ruler,
Babrak Karmal. Moscow proclaimed it had invaded Afghanistan to "liberate" it from
"feudalism and Islamic extremism" and "nests of terrorists and bandits."

Soviet propaganda churned out films of Red Army soldiers playing with children, 
building
schools, dispensing medical care. Afghan women were to be liberated from the veil and
other backward Islamic customs. The Soviet Union and its local communist allies would
bring Afghanistan into the 20th century.

Two years later, Afghans had risen against their Soviet "liberators" and were waging a 
low-
intensity guerrilla war. Unable to control the countryside, Moscow poured more troops 
into
Afghanistan. The Soviet- run Afghan Army had poor morale and less fighting zeal. The 
KGB-
run Afghan secret police, KhAD, jailed and savagely tortured tens of thousands of 
"Islamic
terrorists," then called "freedom fighters" in the West.

Fast forward to December, 2002, and a disturbing sense of deja vu. A new foreign army
has easily occupied Afghanistan, overthrown the "feudal" Taliban government and 
installed
a puppet regime in Kabul. Western media churn out the same rosy, agitprop stories the
Soviets did about liberating Afghanistan, freeing women, educating children. The only 
real
difference is that kids in today's TV clips are waving American instead of Soviet 
flags. The
invaders have changed; the propaganda remains the same.

America's invasion of Afghanistan in October, 2001, was billed as an epic military 
victory
and the model of future imperial expeditions to pacify Third World malefactors. Since 
then,
news about this war-ravaged land has grown scarce. America's limited attention has 
turned
elsewhere.

Afghanistan in chaos

In fact, America's Afghan adventure has gotten off to as poor a start as that of the 
Soviet
Union. The U.S.-installed ruler of Kabul, veteran CIA asset Hamid Karzai, must be 
protected
from his own people by up to 200 U.S. bodyguards. Much of Afghanistan is in chaos, 
fought
over by feuding warlords and drug barons.

There are almost daily attacks on U.S. occupation forces. My old mujahedin sources say
U.S. casualties and equipment losses in Afghanistan are far higher than Washington is
reporting - and are rising.

American troops are operating from the old Soviet bases at Bagram and Shindand,
retaliating, like the Soviets, against mujahedin attacks on U.S. forces by heavily 
bombing
nearby villages. The CIA is trying to assassinate Afghan nationalist leaders opposed 
to the
Karzai regime in Kabul, in particular my old acquaintance Gulbadin Hekmatyar.

North of the Hindu Kush mountains, America's Afghan ally, the Tajik- Uzbek Northern
Alliance, has long been a proxy of the Russians. The chief of the Russian general 
staff and
head of intelligence directed the Alliance in its final attack on the Taliban last 
fall. Russia
then supplied Alliance forces with $100 million in arms, and is providing $85 million 
worth
of helicopters, tanks, artillery and spare parts, as well as military advisors and 
technicians.
Russia now dominates much of northern Afghanistan.

The Taliban, according to the United Nations drug agency, had almost shut down opium-
morphine-heroin production. America's ally, the Northern Alliance, has revived the 
illicit
trade. Since the U.S. overthrew the Taliban, opium cultivation has soared from 185 
tons a
year to 2,700. The Northern Alliance, which dominates the Kabul regime, finances its 
arms-
buying and field operations with drug money. President George Bush's war on drugs
collided with his war on terrorism - and lost. The U.S. is now, in effect, colluding 
in the
heroin trade.

Anti-American Afghan forces - the Taliban, al-Qaida, and others - have regrouped and 
are
mounting ever larger attacks on U.S. troops and, reports the UN, even reopening 
training
camps. Taliban mujahedin are using the same sophisticated early alert system they
developed to monitor Soviet forces in the 1980s to warn of American search-and- destroy
missions before they leave base. As a result, U.S. troops keep chasing shadows. 
Canadians
fared no better.

In the sole major battle since the Taliban's overthrow, Operation Anaconda, U.S. forces
were bested by veteran Afghan mujahedin, losing two helicopters.

The ongoing cost of Afghan operations is a closely guarded secret. Earlier this year, 
the
cost of stationing 8,000 American troops, backed by warplanes and naval units, was
estimated at $5 billion US monthly!

The CIA spends millions every month to bribe Pushtun warlords.

Costs will rise as the U.S. expands bases in Afghanistan and neighbouring Pakistan,
Tajikistan, Kyrgystan and Uzbekistan - all placed along the planned U.S.-owned 
pipeline that
will bring Central Asian oil south through Afghanistan.

The UN reports the Taliban and al-Qaida on the offensive, Afghan women remain veiled
and the country is in a dangerous mess. Declaring victory in Afghanistan may have been
premature.



Eric can be reached by e-mail at [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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