-Caveat Lector-

Euphorian spotted this on the Guardian Unlimited site and thought you should see it.

To see this story with its related links on the Guardian Unlimited site, go to 
http://www.guardian.co.uk

Supermarket giants to target Safeway with rival £3bn bids
Neil Hume
Sunday January 12 2003
The Observer


A fierce battle for control of Safeway will spill out into the open this week with J 
Sainsbury and Wal-Mart, the US owner of Asda, both expected to bid over £3bn to 
acquire Britain's fourth-largest supermarket chain.

Safeway was effectively put up for sale by its management last week when it agreed to 
be taken over by Wm Morrison, the Yorkshire-based grocery chain run by Sir Ken 
Morrison, in a deal worth £2.65bn.

However, Morrison's share price dropped sharply after the deal was announced, leaving 
it vulnerable to a counter bid from rivals who cannot afford to see the two chains 
combine.

Sainsbury fears that it will be left as the weakest of the four players in the 
cut-throat UK food retailing market if the deal goes ahead, while Wal-Mart will never 
achieve its ambition to become the No1 in Britain if it lets Safeway fall through its 
grip again - the two were just hours from agreeing a deal four years ago.

Sainsbury's directors held day-long discussions yesterday with the chief executive, 
Sir Peter Davis, seeking support for a cash and share offer of more than 300p for each 
Safeway share.

At the end of Friday's trading, Safeway shares closed at 279.75p, while the value of 
Morrison's offer stood at 251p.

An offer from Sainsbury could come as early as today, alongside the company's 
third-quarter results, which will the give the City the first indication of how 
Sainsbury traded over Christmas.

Wal-Mart, the world's biggest retailer, is expected to wait until Sainsbury has shown 
its hands before announcing its move. Given its size the Arkansas-based company will 
easily be able to outbid Sainsbury and is likely to offer cash. City analysts believe 
it could afford to pay up to 400p.

The bids from Sainsbury and Wal-Mart will be conditional on regulatory approval. This 
is because their announcement will trigger an assessment by the office of fair trading 
and probably a referral to the competition commission, which will then launch an 
inquiry into whether either company should be able to buy Safeway.

This process could take up to six months and its findings can, in theory, be overruled 
by the trade and industry secretary, Patricia Hewitt.

A combination of Sainsbury and Safeway would create a food retailing giant in the UK 
with a market share of 27%, while a merged Asda and Safeway would control 26%. Either 
deal would reinforce the dominance of the big three - the Tesco, the market leader, 
Asda and Sainsbury. Critics claim this would stifle competition.

To overcome such objections both Sainsbury and Wal-Mart are prepared to sell up to 
one-third of Safeway's 479 stores.

Ironically, the two companies held talks about a carve up of the Safeway store 
portfolio late last year, but the discussions broke down last month after Wal-Mart 
objected to the terms of the deal.

Sainsbury is now talking to the US private equity group Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and 
the Royal Bank of Scotland.

However, there were indications from Whitehall yesterday that the government would 
block the Sainsbury and Wal-Mart bids even if both companies promised to sell large of 
numbers of stores.

This would play into the hands of Morrison, which claims that its deal will create a 
fourth power in the UK food retailing market. The company will make its submission to 
the OFT this week and is confident it will not be referred to the competition 
commission.

Morrison needs to buy Safeway so that it can expand out of its northern heartland. At 
the moment only eight of its 191 stores are south of Northampton.

Copyright Guardian Newspapers Limited

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