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Left Margin

Rumsfeld at Sea

By Carl Bloice

At one point, Donald Rumsfeld is said to have become a
little testy. It was October 10 and the U.S. Secretary
of Defense had just landed on the deck of the USS John
F. Kennedy aboard a C-2 Greyhound twin-engine
propeller-driven cargo plane accompanied by 18 defense
ministers from 18 'coalition partners' in the Iraq war.
When someone from the accompanying media asked about
the possibility of an increase in the number of U.S.
troops fighting the insurgency there, he reportedly
shot back, "There's a fixation on that subject! It's
fascinating how everyone is locked on that." However,
en route to the shipboard huddle Rumsfeld told U.S.
commanders in Iraq that he may yet decide they need
more U.S. troops over the next two months. He also
complained about the inability to convince countries to
send additional forces to provide security for an
expanded U.N. presence in Baghdad.

According to the Associated Press, the session aboard
the Kennedy convened 'amid mounting concern in some
quarters that the insurgency in Iraq is so widespread
and violent that full and fair elections in January
might not be able to go on as scheduled.'

Troop strength was very much the subject of the
gathering. The war is escalating and the secretary was
looking for help.

It wasn't easy finding out which 'Coalition' defense
ministers met with Rumsfeld Oct. 10 in a windowless
room in the bowels of the U.S. John F. Kennedy in the
middle of the Arab Gulf. A number of the major media
reports following the meeting gave the number - 18 -
but didn't list them. They are: Albania, Azerbaijan,
Bahrain, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia,
Georgia, Hungary, Iraq, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia,
Mongolia, Poland, Qatar, Romania, and Ukraine and Iraq.
Nicaragua, Spain, Dominican Republic, Honduras, the
Philippines, Thailand and New Zealand have already
withdrawn their forces. For some reason South Korea
which provides the third largest military contingent in
the war wasn't represented aboard the Kennedy. The
British Defense Ministry also wasn't there but, as we
shall see, it had already received the message: we need
help.

The problem is clear: With the exception of Poland,
most of the other countries represented at the
shipboard gathering have only token forces in Iraq and
several already have, or are threatening to reduce
their participation in the war effort. Furthermore,
most of the governments sending troops are doing so in
defiance of overwhelming popular opposition from their
own people. No sooner had Rumsfeld arrived home than
the leadership of Poland, which survived an Oct. 15 no
confidence vote (in which the war was very much an
issue) by 234 to 218, made it clear the country's
commitment extended only another couple of months. A
senior Defense Ministry official said Oct. 16, that "we
hope to have the troops out by the end of the year.
That, at least, is my hope."

Later, after Rumsfeld met with General George Casey,
the US commander in Iraq, Casey told reporters they had
not even discussed troop levels. Of course, that way
neither of them could be asked what was said.

It was Casey who briefed the shipboard military chiefs
via teleconference from Baghdad about the plan to take
control of the areas of Iraq now off-limits to U.S.
forces. He "gave a brief on the state of play in Iraq,
the way forward and where we are," a Pentagon
spokesperson said, and named 20 to 30 towns either
controlled by insurgents or vulnerable, and laid out a
plan of how to bring them under the control by New
Years.

Military officials now speak openly about the aim of
the air strikes being 'pacification,' implicitly
acknowledging that what they are confronting is nothing
less than a guerilla war. The 'coalition forces' are
engaged in a widespread counterinsurgency effort not
very different than the European wars in Asia and
Africa four decades ago and the U.S. war in Southeast
Asia. Planes from the USS Kennedy are reported taking
off on bombing raids over Iraq about 20 times a day.
The war from the air minimizes coalition casualties. In
a sense, it's a race against time. Launching full scale
attacks before the U.S. Presidential election Nov. 2 is
a problem but the objective is to bring the entire
country under control before the Iraqi election
scheduled for January.

Iraqi defense minister, Hazim al-Shalaan, sought to
assure the gathered military chiefs that the country is
not descending into ever greater chaos and violence.
"Samarra is a sign of things to come, and Fallujah will
soon be next," he said.

The Iraqi minister was referring to the supposed
'coalition' victory in subduing that city last month.
However, the city was re-taken with very little combat
amid indications that the insurgent forces simply
withdrew from the battle. What is taking place now -
and seems to be in the offing for the city of Fallujah
- is of a different and more ominous nature. What is
being called the 'carrot and stick' policy toward that
city and other locales is really a threat not to the
resistance fighter operating there but to the civilian
populations. Residents are being told to either
eliminate or turn over the insurgents or face further
death and destruction. In order to back up the
ultimatum, bombing raids in recent days have struck
hotels, cafés and wedding parties, reducing buildings
to giant craters in the ground and filling hospitals
with non-combatant men, women and children. It is a
practice that would appear to be in direct violation of
the Geneva Convention on the conduct of war.

Military officials say the battle to control Fallujah
and the other 20 to 30 cities and towns described by
Casey has yet to begun in earnest. It is more than
likely that will occur between the Nov. 2 election and
the year's end. But maybe not. A British official told
The Independent the attack might not wait until the
U.S. vote.

An Administration effort to persuade Britain to
reposition its troops south of Baghdad in order to free
up U.S. troops for striking Fallujah has provoked a new
political crisis for the already beleaguered Prime
Minister Tony Blair. British Defense Secretary Geoff
Hoon ran into a buzz saw Oct. 18 when he tried to
convince members of Parliament that the requested
redeployment would be an 'operational' rather than a
'political' move. Members of Parliament from all sides
of the aisles questioned Hoon intently on how long the
operation would last, what would be the chain of
command, what the move would mean for British troops
under the recognized terms of engagement and the rules
of the international criminal court.

It was ex-Conservative Party leader, Iain Duncan Smith,
and the shadow defense secretary, Nicholas Soames, who
queried Hoon as to whether British troops operating
under U.S. rules of engagement could be subject to
prosecution under international court rules. Labor
Parliamentarian MP Dennis Skinner said by definition -
"If it's done before November 2, it's political. It's
handing President Bush a lifeline." According to the
Guardian, former shadow foreign secretary Gerald
Kaufman received the largest cheers during the session
when he said there was a risk that "UK forces risking
their lives will be exploited in a US election."

According to the Guardian, the Secretary 'refused to
debate 'precise details' of the terms of the
international criminal court if UK troops killed Iraqi
civilians, but said, in reference to the previous
restraint shown by UK peacekeepers in the south of the
country: 'This will be less restrained if there is a
direct threat to them'.'

On October 18, The Telegraph drew attention editorially
to 'confusion about the precise rules of engagement.'
'British forces in Iraq occupy a murky legal area
between outright warfare and peace-keeping,' the
paper's lead article said. 'They are at risk from
lawsuits as well as bullets, especially since, unlike
the Americans, they have been brought under the
jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court
(ICC).'

'The US has also serially torpedoed attempts, through
selective amnesties for example, to separate
nationalist insurgents from jihadis who are opening a
new front in their war against the west,' the London-
based Financial Times said editorially October 19. 'Now
US forces are preparing an offensive against up to two
dozen Sunni towns and cities, where on current practice
they will use indiscriminate and disproportionate air
power against dense urban areas, causing hundreds of
civilian casualties.

'That is not something British forces, with a different
military culture and rules of engagement, should be
part of.

'It really is time to move the Iraq debate on, and to
focus it on how to secure a decent future for Iraqis.
That will not be achieved by Britain buying further
into a failed US strategy, which appears to consist of
digging the same hole deeper and wider. All that will
lead to is an abyss.'

Meanwhile, as the level of violence in Iraq continued
to grow and threatened to explode on a far bigger
scale, Secretary Rumsfeld continued to try to play it
down. 'What is being reported in the media for the most
part, are the incidents of violence,' Rumsfeld said at
a press conference with Macedonian Defense Minister
Vade Buckovski, Oct. 11. 'In any city in the world
there are every year hundreds of homicides. We seem not
to see those on the front page of every newspaper every
day. So while no one is going to say that things are
perfect or things are peaceful - they are not.' Last
summer, he told a press conference, '"You've got to
remember that if Washington, D.C., were the size of
Baghdad, we would be having something like 215 murders
a month," Rumsfeld said.  "There's going to be violence
in a big city."

Reassuring.

--

Carl Bloice is a freelance journalist in San Francisco,
California
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DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER
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CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic
screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please!   These are
sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis-
directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with
major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought.
That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no
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Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.
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