-Caveat Lector-

from:
http://www.smh.com.au/news/0010/18/pageone/pageone11.html
Click Here: <A
HREF="http://www.smh.com.au/news/0010/18/pageone/pageone11.html">Market
jittery as  dollar dives nearer 50˘    …</A>
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Market jittery as dollar dives nearer 50˘

By TOM ALLARD, Economics Correspondent
The Treasurer, Mr Costello, will fly to the United States tomorrow to begin a
roadshow selling the strengths of the economy to the powerful investors who
have been driving the Australian dollar down to damaging levels.

With the dollar hitting another low of US52.12˘ yesterday - in early trading
in London last night it fell to US51.87˘ - Mr Costello will leave growing
anxiety - and a feeling of impotence - about the dollar's effect on rising
petrol prices, import costs and interest rates.

The Reserve Bank revealed yesterday that it spent $506 million of its foreign
reserves last month in a relatively modest but unsuccessful attempt to prop
up the currency. "It's sinking and there's no lifeboat to save it," a
Commonwealth Securities economist, Ms Besa Deda, said. "Fifty cents is
certainly a level that could be tested."

Efforts to talk up the dollar, including a public defence of the currency by
the Reserve Bank Governor, Mr Ian Macfarlane, at the World Economic Forum
last month, have failed spectacularly to convince currency traders that the
dollar is worth supporting. As one government adviser put it yesterday: "The
figures [showing Australia's impressive economic performance compared with
the US] are there for anyone who's interested in looking. Maybe we're too
small and too far away for them to notice."

Mr Costello will spend four days in New York from Friday, briefing "key
corporate and financial investors" on "Australia's strong fundamentals" and
"excellent outlook".

He will then attend a G20 finance ministers' meeting in Montreal, where
global currency instability is certain to be a topic for discussion.

Traders attributed the weakness in the dollar to the continued strength of
the US greenback, growing pessimism about the stability of the Asia-Pacific
and relatively poor investment returns here.

But most are mystified as to why the Australian dollar has fallen further
than almost any other currency. Apart from share prices, Australia has
broadly matched or outperformed the US on key economic indicators over the
past five years.

During the past two years, Australia has done even better, prompting the US
Federal Reserve to acknowledge our superior productivity rate in a recent
report.

Beyond Mr Costello's trip to New York and Montreal, the Government was
promising little yesterday to ease the burden of the low dollar and rising
petrol prices on consumers.

Petrol prices could rise as much as 5˘ a litre in the next week due to the
low dollar and rising world oil prices.

But the Prime Minister yesterday again ruled out freezing the petrol excise
to ease the pressure on motorists.

Copyright © 2000. The Sydney Morning Herald
All rights reserved.
-----
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