-Caveat Lector- -------- Original Message -------- Subject: Poll shows public rejects Oslo, wantsharder line in talks - PEACE PROJECTJANUARY 2001 SURVEY Date: Wed, 7 Feb 2001 05:38:25 -0500 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Poll shows public rejects Oslo, wants harder line in talks - PEACE PROJECT JANUARY 2001 SURVEY [IMRA note: in light of claims by many commentators that Ehud Barak's defeat was a matter of personality rather than policy, IMRA is distributing again the latest Peace Index poll. The poll shows that while the Israeli public supports talking with the Palestinians only a majority support Oslo. The public also wants a harder position in the talks and believes that a deal was not reached because the Palestinians thought they could squeeze more out of Israel.] The Peace Index Project is conducted by the Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace Research at Tel Aviv University, headed by Prof. Ephraim Yaar and Dr. Tamar Hermann and executed by Machshov. Results are shown for the January 30, 2001. This survey was expanded to include Israeli Arabs and tables are available with breakdown for total population and Jewish population. The survey details below, however, are, as previous surveys, limited to the adult Jewish population. Margin of error is about 4.5%. January 2001 1. Do you believe or not believe that in the coming years there will be peace between Israel and the Arabs? Certain there will be peace 6.6% Think there will be peace 21.9% In the middle 8.5% Think there will not be peace 28.8% Certain there will not be peace 32.0% Do not know/no opinion 2.2% 2. In general, do you consider yourself a supporter or opponent of the peace process between Israel and the Arabs? Greatly opposed 10.7% Considerably opposed 6.2% In the middle 8.5% Considerably supportive 37.2% Greatly supportive 35.2% Do not know/no opinion 2.2 % 3. What is your opinion on the agreement that was signed in Oslo between Israel and the PLO (Agreement of Principles)? Heavily in favor 8.3% Considerably in favor 19.5% In the middle 17.1% Considerably opposed 15.7% Heavily opposed 27.2% Do not know/no opinion 12.1% 4. Do you believe or not believe that the Oslo Agreement between Israel and the PLO will bring about peace between Israel and the Palestinians in the coming years? Greatly believe 6.0% Considerably believe 18.7% Middle 12.9% Considerably do not believe 18.3% Certainly do not believe 36.0% Do not know/no opinion 8.1% 5. Do you believe or not believe that in the coming years there will be peace between Israel and Syria? Certain there will be peace 4.0% Think there will be peace 21.9% In the middle 17.7% Think there will not be peace 27.8% Certain there will not be peace 22.5% Don't know/have no opinion 6.2% 6. What is your position regarding support for a full peace treaty between Israel and Syria in exchange for full withdrawal from the Golan Heights? Greatly in favor 9.5% Considerably in favor 12.7% In the middle 8.3% Considerably opposed 11.9% Greatly opposed 50.5% Do not know/have no opinion 7.0% Should there be a special ballot, for example a blank ballot, that would allow people to express their protest against all the candidates, and the count of these ballots be announced? Yes 50.5% No 45.3% Do not know 4.2% To your best estimation, will Sharon be willing to evacuate some of the settlements and the Arab neighborhoods in eastern Jerusalem in order to reach a peace agreement with the Palestinians? Certain yes 12.7% Think yes 31.0% Think no 30.8% Certain no 14.5% Do not know/maybe 10.9% Who, in your opinion, can best advance the peace process with the Palestinians while protecting the State of Israel's vital interests? Barak 27.0% Sharon 53.1% Same 3.2% Neither 10.7% Will not be peace/Does not depend on us 1.2% Do not know 4.8% Summarizing the reign of Ehud Barak, how would you evaluate his policy in the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians? Too hard 3.4% Appropriate 20.3% Too conciliatory 70.4% Do not know 6.0% What position should Israel take in the negotiations in order to reach a peace agreement with the Palestinians? 67.8% Harder than Barak 18.5% Same as Barak 02.4% More conciliatory than Barak 07.4% Regardless of Israel's positions, it is impossible to reach a peace agreement with the Palestinians 04.0% Do not know Why, in your opinion, didn't the Palestinians sign a peace agreement and on an end to the conflict, despite Barak's concessions? 24.3% They do not want to reach peace with Israel 70.4% They are trying to get more concessions in return for a peace agreement. 05.4% Do not know Of the following two possibilities, which government would you prefer be established after the elections if Sharon is elected prime minister? 26.4% Government headed by the Likud with the religious, Shas, and right wing parties led by Gandhi (Ze'evi) and Lieberman. 62.0% Unity government including the Likud, Labor, religious and Shas without right wing parties led by Gandhi and Lieberman. 04.8% Other 06.8% Do not know What effect will the Labor party joining a national unity government headed by Ariel Sharon have on the chances of reaching a peace agreement? 52.9% Increase 12.7% Decrease 11.9% No effect since any government will in the end reach an agreement 11.7% No effect since no government will in the end reach an agreement 10.7% Do not know Translated to English by Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis) (mail POB 982 Kfar Sava) Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-5480092 INTERNET ADDRESS: [EMAIL PROTECTED] pager 03-6750750 subscriber 4811 ARCHIVE/Subscribe: http://www.imra.org.il -------------------------------------------- IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis Website: www.imra.org.il For free regular subscription: Subscribe at no charge: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Unsubscribe: [EMAIL PROTECTED] For free daily digest subscription: Subscribe at no charge: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Unsubscribe: [EMAIL PROTECTED] For a copy of all reports distributed for a given day please send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">www.ctrl.org</A> DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. 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