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Abraham: Energy Crisis Threatens
By H. Josef Hebert
Associated Press Writer
Monday, March 19, 2001; 1:25 p.m. EST

WASHINGTON –– Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham said Monday the country is
facing the most serious energy shortages since the 1970s. Without a solution,
he said, the energy crisis will threaten prosperity and national security and
change the way Americans live.

Abraham, in a speech hours before a special energy task force was to l make
recommendations to President Bush, said California's power problems are
neither isolated nor temporary and could spread to other parts of the
country, including the Northeast.

"The power crisis isn't just pinching our wallets, it's changing the way we
live our lives," Abraham said in a speech described by aides as his most
comprehensive assessment of the country's energy concerns since becoming
energy secretary.

Abraham said the demand for energy "is rising across the board" but
particularly for natural gas and electricity. As he spoke, the Energy
Department also was raising concern of possible gasoline price spikes this
summer.

The department said both crude-oil inventories and gasoline stocks are 6
percent to 7 percent lower that what they traditionally have been this time
of year.

The estimates came even before calculation of the potential impact of a
decision last week by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to
lower production by 1 million barrels a day.

At the White House, spokesman Ari Fleischer said Abraham had communicated
with OPEC members before the production cut was made.

Fleischer said Bush is focused on long-term strategies. "While we can
encourage and should encourage conservation, the most realistic approach our
nation can take, in the president's opinion, is to increase supplies of
energy."

As for tapping the nation's strategic petroleum reserve, Fleischer said, "The
president has never ruled that out, but the president believes that is an
emergency action that should be taken not as a consequence of
supply-and-demand imbalances but in terms of national security emergencies."

John Cook, chief petroleum analyst for the department's Energy Information
Administration, called the current inventory levels a disturbing sign for
this summer's heavy driving season.

While stocks likely will increase somewhat, "We are beginning the driving
season with very little stock cushion," Cook said in remarks prepared for an
oil refiners' conference in New Orleans.

Abraham, addressing an energy conference sponsored by the U.S. Chamber of
Commerce, said the administration is determined to pursue "a rational balance
between our energy needs and our environmental concerns."

He gave no details about the proposals expected to be presented to Bush by
the energy task force headed by Vice President Dick Cheney. He said the
administration's policy "will stress the need to diversify America's energy
supply."

Abraham said it is a myth that oil companies and power companies are "engaged
in a massive conspiracy to gouge consumers."

"There is no magic source of supply, no hidden pool of energy that can be
turned on and off like a faucet," he declared.

Energy analysts are concerned that this summer will bring not only another
round of power blackouts in California and possibly other states, as well as
increases in the cost of not only electricity, but also gasoline during the
peak summer driving season.

Gasoline prices nationwide for all brands average $1.41 a gallon, slightly
lower than in recent weeks, the Energy Department said.

While the DOE earlier this month predicted prices at the pump this summer
would increase modestly to about $1.49 on average, analysts said they would
not rule out severe price spikes beyond that should supply problems develop.

Last year gasoline soared past $2 a gallon in some parts of the country,
especially in the Midwest.

In a presentation to the refiners conference, Cook said gasoline stocks in
the Gulf Coast area are nearly 13 percent below the normal five-year average,
and 9 percent lower than at this time last year.

"For crude oil the situation is not much better," said Cook.

Nationwide, he said, crude stocks are 7 percent below the low end of the
normal range for this time of year.

While the impact of OPEC's latest production cuts is not expected to show up
in the U.S. market for six to eight weeks, it is likely to aggravate stock
supplies even more, analysts said.

White House sounds energy alarm
Monday, 19 March 2001 19:18 (ET)


White House sounds energy alarm


 WASHINGTON, March 19 (UPI) -- The White House said the United States was
veering toward an energy crisis and pointed to cuts in oil production by
OPEC, saying it was "disappointed" by the oil cartel's latest move.

 "Demand for energy in the United States is increasing much more so than
production is, and as result, we're finding in certain parts of the country
that we're short on energy," President Bush said during a meeting with top
administration officials tasked with coming up a national energy policy.
"One thing is for certain: there are no short-term fixes."

 Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham underscored Bush's remarks during a
speech earlier in the day at the United States Chamber of Commerce, where he
said energy shortages threatened to stall efforts to spur the economy.

 Abraham said electricity shortages seen in California were harbingers of
more widespread power troubles in the United States. Citing projections for
increased energy demands, Abraham said New York, the Midwest, Southwest and
areas of the central United States could soon face the electricity shortages
much like in the Golden State.

 "Americans across the nation are feeling the energy squeeze," Abraham
said. "Rising demand, tightening supplies and aging power infrastructure, a
decade of neglect from Washington; these are the trends that define
America's emerging energy challenges."

 White House spokesman Ari Fleischer used Bush and Abraham's warnings to
reiterate the administration's call for increasing domestic oil drilling,
including development on the federal lands like the wildlife refuge in
Alaska known as ANWR. But increased domestic production would take up to a
decade to provide relief.

 Fleischer said nonetheless that a long-term energy policy was the best
solution for the potential shortages Bush and Abraham cited.

 "The President is focused on finding a long-term solution to our nation's
energy problems," Fleischer said. "And he believes that's the most
beneficial step we can take."

 Fleischer said "it was a disappointment" that leadership at the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries decided to trim production
when it met in Vienna over the weekend, despite appeals by the
administration against a production decrease. OPEC officials said economic
slowdowns in the United States and Japan meant less oil consumption and
therefore a hurtful price drop in oil for exporters unless world supplies
were tightened.

 The OPEC move was a clear setback to the administration, which had hoped
to wield more influence among Arab nations with ranking officials like Vice
President Dick Cheney, who served as secretary of defense during the Gulf
War in the last Bush administration.

 Asked about OPEC by reporters, Bush said he was encouraged because Saudi
Arabia, a major player in the organization, vowed to keep oil prices near
the $25 per barrel mark, widely seen as the best price for both producers
and consumers.

 "The piece of good news in their decision was that the Saudi minister made
it clear that he and his friends would not allow the price of oil, crude oil
to exceed $28 a barrel," Bush said.  "That's very comforting to the American
consumer, and I appreciate that gesture.  I thought that was a very strong
statement of understanding, that high prices of crude oil will affect our
economy."

 New Mexico Sen. Jeff Bingaman, the ranking Democrat on the Senate energy
committee, said he agreed that the country faces "significant energy
challenges." But he said the Bush administration's plan was incomplete.

 "Any comprehensive response to these challenges must include a balance
between increasing supply while curbing demand, increasing efficiency and
considering the environmental impacts of our energy  policies," Bingaman
said.  "The Bush Administration approach seems to ignore this bigger
picture."
--





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