On Wed, Aug 25, 2010 at 19:41, Mike McGrath <mmcgr...@redhat.com> wrote:
> On Tue, 24 Aug 2010, Jeff Spaleta wrote:
>
>> On Tue, Aug 24, 2010 at 2:06 PM, Paul W. Frields <sticks...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> > I don't think anyone can generalize that the usage of Fedora is
>> > declining.  What we can prove, and certainly is troublesome, is that
>> > yum check-ins of successive releases have been dropping by a couple
>> > percent each release (although downloads are actually up), compared on
>> > a per-week basis.  It's no less likely that this decrease is due to
>> > people just staying on a stable release, even past EOL.  I've heard
>> > anecdotal evidence to support that, which is no more or less valuable
>> > than any other anecdotal evidence being presented, I suppose (IOW,
>> > probably not worth a thing).  If someone can present a hard analysis
>> > that points to only one possible scenario, fantastic -- we can start
>> > looking at causes.
>>
>> One additional metric which I'd like to see is the raw number of yum
>> check-ins per week regardless of ip-addresses as an historic trend.
>> As a stand alone metric its prone to both over and under counting like
>> the other metrics but in a different way. It would be interesting to
>> see if the raw yum check-in counts as an historic trend followed the
>> download trending or the unique-ip trending.
>>
>
> Ask and ye' shall receive.
>
> http://mmcgrath.fedorapeople.org/yum_hits.html
>
> I'm not quite sure what to make of it all yet except that this trend does
> conflict with the "current release" numbers we have on the statistics page
> (indicating people are using Fedora even after EOL) and that security
> incidents requiring a rebuild of everything is bad for business, at least
> temporarily :)

My graphic is not up to date but similar...

http://smooge.fedorapeople.org/images/growth-over-time.png

I need to update the numbers to after may and get the data 'cleaner'
and my lines darker because mmcgrath's looks better than mine.


-- 
Stephen J Smoogen.
“The core skill of innovators is error recovery, not failure avoidance.”
Randy Nelson, President of Pixar University.
"We have a strategic plan. It's called doing things.""
— Herb Kelleher, founder Southwest Airlines
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