I wouldn't run to the media quite yet. I've been looking at the data since first
hearing about it an hour ago. Start looking at the assumptions of linearity and
especially normality and Palm Beach may not be such an outlier as you think.
Interesting data set though.
rick
--- Juan Zuluaga wrote:
---------- Forwarded Message ----------
Date: Wednesday, November 08, 2000 3:57 PM -0500
From: Greg Adams <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: important: election results
As you probably all know, Bush has 1700 more votes in Florida over Gore.
However, folks in Palm Beach were complaining that their ballots were
confusing, and many people voted for Buchanan when they thought they were
voting for Gore. With the help of my wife Chris, I analyzed the county by
county presidential results for Florida. The results are clear: the ballot
for Palm Beach cost Gore approximately 2200 votes. A simple regression of
Buchanan's vote on Bush's vote shows that Buchanan should have only gotten
800 votes, not 3400.
Don't believe me? Look for yourself: It's not even close! Palm Beach is
an outlier beyond all belief!!!
http://madison.hss.cmu.edu/palm-beach.pdf
I need help getting these results out to the world. If you have media
contacts or now how to tip them, please have them contact me asap. Thanks.
---------- End Forwarded Message ----------
-------------------------------------------------
David Krackhardt, Professor of Organizations
Academic homepage (address, etc.): http://www.heinz.cmu.edu/~krack/academic/
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