On 29 Nov 2001 07:03:13 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Robert J.
MacG. Dawson) wrote:


>There is probably a reverse trend in the extreme tail; people probably
>overestimate the probability of getting (say) red fifty times in a row
>at Roulette simply because we don't have a good feel for really large
>and small numbers. 

I think you are right in that assumption.  When I taught probability,
I found students had difficulty sensing  numerical enormity or its
opposite in scientific notation or lots of zeros.  Dealing with 16
zeros to the right of the decimal, for example,  becomes a complete
abstraction.  


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