On 29 Nov 2001 07:03:13 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Robert J. MacG. Dawson) wrote:
>There is probably a reverse trend in the extreme tail; people probably >overestimate the probability of getting (say) red fifty times in a row >at Roulette simply because we don't have a good feel for really large >and small numbers. I think you are right in that assumption. When I taught probability, I found students had difficulty sensing numerical enormity or its opposite in scientific notation or lots of zeros. Dealing with 16 zeros to the right of the decimal, for example, becomes a complete abstraction. ================================================================= Instructions for joining and leaving this list and remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =================================================================