Eugene Gallagher <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Rich,
>  I tend to agree with you about the potential abuse of stepwise 
> multiple regression. However, it is widely used and I wouldn't label a 
> study using stepwise as being of necessity flawed, even if the goal was 
> to evaluate the relative importance of different explanatory variables. 
>  For example, this week's Science has an article that has been widely 
> reported in the popular press and the key analysis is a stepwise 
> regression. One way of interpreting the paper is that the authors used 
> stepwise to make their assessment of the importance of N deposition more 
> objective. They didn't pick N deposition, the computer did.
> 

Not having seen the paper, I can't comment on the specifics of the application of 
stewpise
there.  But certainly, given the simulation literature on stepwise, the fact that 
Science
published such a paper only shows that they aren't aware of the problems with the 
procedure.  
The good intent or reputation of a journal or scientist still won't make the procedure
better.  In most situations scientists encounter, there isn't "potential abuse", 
there's just 
pretty much by definition a badly overfitted model.

Mike Babyak
.
.
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