Somebody thought that the
candidates would frequently fail to be ratified by the electorate.
Well, if the statisticians
take this into account properly, and submit for ratification only those
candidates that have a 99 percent chance of being ratified, then, by definition,
it will be ratified 99 percent of the time.
If the population size required for this 99
percent confidence is greater than the size of the electorate, then the entire
electorate will have to vote.
If it is found that the sample has to
be that large in order to get the 99 percent confidence interval, then the
voters will know that their is a significant chance that their ballots will be
pivotal, so it will be worth the trouble of ranking all of the viable candidates
carefully.
So far none of the people who have
criticized this method has come up with a way that would make the voters who are
required to rank all of the candidates know for sure that it is going to be
worth all of the trouble.
Forest
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