In the UK, 3000 people a year die in road accidents – that’s roughly 10 a
day, 2/3 of which are driving on business – in an average lifetime of
driving your chance of dying in a road accident is 1 in 200.

 

This does not stop cars being sold or companies prohibiting business
driving...........

 

 

How have you come to the 1ppm fatality figure – have you looked at
comparable accident/fatality figures for similar products – you’d probably
be amazed with what and how people injure and kill themselves. The standard
kitchen chair probably accounts for a good majority.................

 

Regards,

 

Chris 

 

  _____  

From: emc-p...@ieee.org [mailto:emc-p...@ieee.org] On Behalf Of Haynes, Tim
(SELEX) (UK Capability Green)
Sent: 18 January 2007 15:45
To: emc-p...@ieee.org
Subject: Outside the realm of standards

 

Hi all,

 

Outside the field of standards - if I assess that the chance of a hypothetical
product causing a death is, say, one in a million per annum then there is a
million-to-one chance (1x10e-6) of a product related death in one year of
operation. I assume that that risk is acceptable.

 

If I sell 100 million units and they have a life of 10 years, it would seem
that there is a chance that 1000 people being killed as a result of this
hypothetical product. 

 

The general risk of death (in the UK) in all the population from all causes is
just less than 1 in 100 (1 in 88 was the last number I saw quoted), so a risk
of 1 in 1 million would be very a small risk.

 

But 1000 people dead in 10 years seems a lot of people - so...

 

What is the flaw in the logic please? 

 

 

Tim


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