<http://www.iisd.ca/>   Earth Negotiations Bulletin

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 A Reporting Service for Environment and Development Negotiations

 

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Published by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) 
<http://iisd.ca> 

 

Vol. 12 No. 343
Monday, 3 December 2007

THIRTEENTH CONFERENCE OF THE PARTIES TO THE UN FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE 
CHANGE AND THIRD MEETING OF THE PARTIES TO THE KYOTO PROTOCOL: 

3-14 DECEMBER 2007

The "United Nations Climate Change Conference in Bali" begins today and will 
continue until 14 December. The event includes the thirteenth Conference of the 
Parties (COP 13) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and 
third Conference of the Parties serving as the Meeting of Parties to the Kyoto 
Protocol (COP/MOP 3) <http://www.iisd.ca/climate/cop13/> . In addition, the 
twenty-seventh sessions of the Subsidiary Body for Implementation (SBI 27) and 
Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice (SBSTA 27) will be 
held, as well as the resumed fourth session of the Ad Hoc Working Group on 
Further Commitments for Annex I Parties under the Kyoto Protocol (AWG 4). A 
joint COP and COP/MOP high-level segment will take place from 12-14 December. 

Delegates will deliberate on a wide range of topics and agenda items, with a 
major focus being post-2012, when the Kyoto Protocol's first commitment period 
expires. In particular, delegates will seek to agree on a negotiating process 
to finalize a post-2012 regime. Other issues that will be taken up include the 
Kyoto Protocol's flexible mechanisms, reducing emissions from deforestation in 
developing countries, technology transfer, financial issues, and issues 
relating to adaptation, including the Adaptation Fund.

A large number of "side events," "parallel events" and other meetings organized 
by various stakeholders will also take place on the margins of the official UN 
negotiations.

A BRIEF HISTORY OF THE UNFCCC AND KYOTO PROTOCOL

Climate change is considered one of the most serious threats to sustainable 
development, with adverse impacts expected on the environment, human health, 
food security, economic activity, natural resources and physical 
infrastructure. Scientists agree that rising concentrations of 
anthropogenically-produced greenhouse gases in the Earth's atmosphere are 
leading to changes in the climate. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on 
Climate Change (IPCC), the effects of climate change have already been 
observed, and scientific findings indicate that precautionary and prompt action 
is necessary.

The international political response to climate change began with the adoption 
of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 1992. 
The UNFCCC sets out a framework for action aimed at stabilizing atmospheric 
concentrations of greenhouse gases to avoid "dangerous anthropogenic 
interference" with the climate system. Controlled gases include methane, 
nitrous oxide and, in particular, carbon dioxide. The UNFCCC entered into force 
on 21 March 1994, and now has 192 parties.

KYOTO PROTOCOL: In December 1997, delegates at COP 3 in Kyoto, Japan, agreed to 
a Protocol to the UNFCCC that commits developed countries and countries in 
transition to a market economy to achieve quantified emission reduction 
targets. These countries, known under the UNFCCC as Annex I parties, agreed to 
reduce their overall emissions of six greenhouse gases by an average of 5.2% 
below 1990 levels between 2008-2012 (the first commitment period), with 
specific targets varying from country to country. The Protocol also established 
three flexible mechanisms to assist Annex I parties in meeting their national 
targets cost-effectively: an emissions trading system; joint implementation 
(JI) of emission reduction projects between Annex I parties; and the Clean 
Development Mechanism (CDM), which allows for emission reduction projects to be 
implemented in non-Annex I parties (developing countries). Following COP 3, 
parties began negotiating many of the rules and operational details governing 
how countries will implement and measure their emission reductions. To date, 
the Kyoto Protocol has 176 parties, including Annex I parties representing 
61.6% of Annex I greenhouse gas emissions in 1990. The Kyoto Protocol entered 
into force on 16 February 2005.

BUENOS AIRES PLAN OF ACTION: In November 1998, COP 4 agreed on the process for 
finalizing the rules and operational details of the Protocol in a document 
known as the Buenos Aires Plan of Action (BAPA). The BAPA set COP 6 as the 
deadline for finalizing these details and strengthening implementation of the 
UNFCCC. In November 2000, parties met at COP 6 in The Hague, the Netherlands, 
to complete these negotiations. They were not successful, and COP 6 was 
suspended until July 2001 when it reconvened in Bonn, Germany. After further 
talks, parties adopted the Bonn Agreements, a decision that provided high-level 
political direction on the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol. But delegates 
were still unable to finalize text on some issues, and agreed to forward all 
the draft decisions to COP 7 for final resolution.

MARRAKESH ACCORDS: In November 2001 at COP 7 in Marrakesh, Morocco, delegates 
reached agreement on the outstanding matters in the Marrakesh Accords. These 
Accords consisted of a package of draft decisions on many of the details of the 
Kyoto Protocol, including the flexible mechanisms, reporting and methodologies, 
land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF), and compliance. The Marrakesh 
Accords also addressed issues such as capacity building, technology transfer, 
responding to the adverse effects of climate change, and the establishment of 
three funds: the Least Developed Countries (LDC) Fund, Special Climate Change 
Fund (SCCF), and Adaptation Fund.

Delegates built on the Marrakesh Accords at COP 8 and COP 9, elaborating on 
various technical rules and procedures. At COP 10 parties also agreed on two 
new agenda items focused on adaptation and mitigation, and began informal 
negotiations on the complex and sensitive issue of how parties might engage on 
commitments to combat climate change in the post-2012 period. 

COP 11 AND COP/MOP 1: COP 11 <http://www.iisd.ca/climate/cop11/>  and COP/MOP 1 
<http://www.iisd.ca/climate/cop11/>  took place in Montreal, Canada, from 28 
November to 10 December 2005. COP/MOP 1 took decisions on the outstanding 
operational details of the Kyoto Protocol, and formally adopted the Marrakesh 
Accords.

The meetings also engaged in negotiations on longer-term international 
cooperation on climate change. COP/MOP 1 addressed possible processes to 
discuss post-2012 commitments and decided to establish a new subsidiary body, 
the Ad Hoc Working Group on Further Commitments for Annex I parties under the 
Kyoto Protocol (AWG).

After lengthy negotiations, COP 11 agreed to consider long-term cooperation 
also under the UNFCCC "without prejudice to any future negotiations, 
commitments, process, framework or mandate under the Convention." This would 
take place through a series of four workshops constituting a "Dialogue" on the 
matter through to COP 13.

AWG AND CONVENTION DIALOGUE: Since COP 11 and COP/MOP 1, post-2012 arrangements 
have been discussed in a series of meetings. The AWG and Convention Dialogue 
have convened four times, at SB 24 <http://www.iisd.ca/climate/sb24/>  (Bonn, 
Germany, May 2006); COP 12 <http://www.iisd.ca/climate/cop12/>  and COP/MOP 2 
<http://www.iisd.ca/climate/cop12/>  (Nairobi, Kenya, November 2006); SB 26 
<http://www.iisd.ca/climate/sb26/>  (Bonn, May 2007); and the "Vienna Climate 
Change Talks" <http://www.iisd.ca/climate/awg4/> (Vienna, Austria, August 
2007). 

The AWG began by considering the focus of its future work. At its second 
session in November 2006, the AWG agreed on a work programme focusing on the 
following three areas: mitigation potentials and ranges of emission reductions; 
possible means to achieve mitigation objectives; and consideration of further 
commitments by Annex I parties. At its third session in May 2007, the AWG 
adopted conclusions on the analysis of mitigation potentials and agreed to 
develop a timetable to complete its work so as to avoid a gap between the first 
and second commitment periods. The fourth session of the AWG started in Vienna 
in August 2007 and will resume in Bali. Delegates focused on mitigation 
potentials and possible ranges of emission reductions for Annex I parties. The 
AWG adopted conclusions referring to some key findings by Working Group III of 
the IPCC, including that global greenhouse gas emissions need to peak in the 
next ten to fifteen years and then be reduced to well below half of 2000 levels 
by the middle of the 21st century in order to stabilize greenhouse gas 
concentrations in the atmosphere at the lowest levels assessed by the IPCC. The 
AWG's conclusions also recognize that to achieve the lowest stabilization 
level, Annex I parties as a group would be required to reduce emissions by a 
range of 25-40% below 1990 levels by 2020. 

The Convention Dialogue workshops began with an initial exchange of views on 
the four thematic areas identified at COP 11: advancing development goals in a 
sustainable way; addressing action on adaptation; realizing the full potential 
of technology; and realizing the full potential of market-based opportunities. 
The second and third workshops involved exchanges of views on the four areas, 
while the fourth focused on bringing together ideas from the previous workshops 
and addressing overarching and cross-cutting issues, including financing. The 
final two workshops also considered the next steps after the Dialogue's four 
scheduled meetings had come to an end. The Dialogue's co-facilitators will 
present their report on the entire workshop series to COP 13 in Bali.

As well as the AWG and Convention Dialogue, recent UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol 
meetings have also addressed long-term issues in other settings, including a 
first review of the Protocol required under Article 9, and a proposal by the 
Russian Federation on "voluntary commitments."

INTERSESSIONAL HIGHLIGHTS

UN HIGH-LEVEL MEETING ON CLIMATE CHANGE: On 24 September 2007, UN 
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon held a high-level meeting on climate change in 
New York 
<http://www.iisd.ca/climate/unga/UNGA_Climate_Change_briefing_note.html> . The 
event, which followed an earlier UN General Assembly "informal thematic debate" 
in late July and early August, drew senior officials from more than 150 
nations, including 80 heads of state or government. The high-level meeting 
aimed to promote dialogue and mobilize political support on the need to achieve 
a breakthrough at the Bali conference. Many participants called for binding 
emission targets or referred to the need to halve emissions by 2050 and limit 
temperature rise to 2°C.

MAJOR ECONOMIES' MEETING ON ENERGY SECURITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE: This US-hosted 
event was held in Washington DC, from 27-28 September 2007. Representatives 
from 16 major economies were invited to discuss this initiative, which sought 
to support the development of a new post-2012 framework on climate change by 
the end of 2008. Participants discussed a long-term global goal for reducing 
greenhouse gas emissions, as well as national actions over the short and 
mid-term. While there was no final agreement on these matters, participants 
agreed that there was value in reconvening another meeting of Major Economies 
after the Bali conference, and that the discussion would be "informed by the 
outcomes in Bali."

BOGOR INFORMAL MINISTERIAL EVENT: This meeting of environment ministers was 
held on 25 October 2007, in Bogor, Indonesia. It was attended by 
representatives of almost 40 countries. Participants agreed in general that the 
building blocks of mitigation, adaptation, technology, and investment and 
finance are at the core of a post-2012 framework. They also agreed that equal 
weight must be given to adaptation and mitigation, and that issues such as 
deforestation and forest degradation should also be addressed.

IPCC: The IPCC held its 27th session <http://www.iisd.ca/climate/ipcc27/>  from 
12-17 November 2007, in Valencia, Spain. The session marked the culmination of 
several years' work by finalizing the Fourth Assessment Report. Having 
completed the reports of its three working groups earlier in 2007, the IPCC 
session in Valencia included the adoption of both the Summary for Policymakers 
of the Synthesis Report and a longer version of the Report. The 23-page final 
draft of the Summary for Policymakers contains sections on the observed changes 
in climate and their effects, the causes of change, projected climate change 
and its impacts, adaptation and mitigation options, and the long-term 
perspective. The report suggests that neither adaptation nor mitigation alone 
can avoid all climate change impacts, but that they can complement each other 
and together can significantly reduce the risks of climate change.

This issue of the Earth Negotiations Bulletin © <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> is written 
and edited by Peter Doran, Ph.D., María Gutiérrez, Ph.D., Kati Kulovesi, Miquel 
Muñoz, Ph.D., and Chris Spence. The Digital Editor is Leila Mead. The Editor is 
Pamela S. Chasek, Ph.D. <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> and the Director of IISD Reporting 
Services is Langston James "Kimo" Goree VI <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>. The Sustaining 
Donors of the Bulletin are the United Kingdom (through the Department for 
International Development - DFID), the Government of the United States of 
America (through the Department of State Bureau of Oceans and International 
Environmental and Scientific Affairs), the Government of Canada (through CIDA), 
the Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Government of Germany (through the 
German Federal Ministry of Environment - BMU, and the German Federal Ministry 
of Development Cooperation - BMZ), the Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 
the European Commission (DG-ENV), the Italian Ministry for the Environment, 
Land and Sea, and the Swiss Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN). General 
Support for the Bulletin during 2007 is provided by the Norwegian Ministry of 
Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Environment, the Government of Australia, 
the Austrian Federal Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, Environment and Water 
Management, the Ministry of Environment of Sweden, the New Zealand Ministry of 
Foreign Affairs and Trade, SWAN International, the Japanese Ministry of 
Environment (through the Institute for Global Environmental Strategies - IGES) 
and the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (through the Global 
Industrial and Social Progress Research Institute - GISPRI). Funding for 
translation of the Earth Negotiations Bulletin into French has been provided by 
the International Organization of the Francophonie (IOF) and the French 
Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Funding for the translation of the Earth 
Negotiations Bulletin into Spanish has been provided by the Ministry of 
Environment of Spain. The opinions expressed in the Earth Negotiations Bulletin 
are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of IISD or 
other donors. Excerpts from the Earth Negotiations Bulletin may be used in 
non-commercial publications with appropriate academic citation. For information 
on the Bulletin, including requests to provide reporting services, contact the 
Director of IISD Reporting Services at <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>, +1-646-536-7556 or 
300 East 56th St. Apt 11A, New York, NY 10022, USA. This issue of ENB was 
published in Bali on recycled paper. The ENB Team at the United Nations Climate 
Change Conference - Bali can be contacted by e-mail at <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>. 

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