On 19 Mar 2013, at 23:40, meekerdb wrote:
On 3/19/2013 11:00 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
On 19 Mar 2013, at 18:35, Bruno Marchal wrote:
On 19 Mar 2013, at 17:34, Evgenii Rudnyi wrote:
snip (see the preview post)
As an example, I could point you to the Genome Wager between
Lewis Wolpert and Rupert Sheldrake
http://www.sheldrake.org/D&C/controversies/genomewager.html
Make your bet. In such a form this is closer to real science,
that is, to a predictive statement.
That bet is far too vague for me. Define "abnormalities".
I bet that in 2029, they will not been able to judge the case, and
will continue to disagree.
I can bet that full simulation of higher mammals brain, ---glial,
neuronal cells + some bacteries, at the molecular level, close to
the Heisenberg uncertainty level,--- will be done this or the next
century.
And I am not betting that we will be able to simulate the folding
of all proteins, but we will use the shape we already know. Many
steps of the chemical metabolism will be simulated very roughly, in
the (eternal) beginning.
It might be an ethical problem, of doing this on animals. They did
not say "yes" to the doctor, but we will do it anyway, and comp
will be a practice before people begin to think on the theological
implications, I'm afraid.
Most humans will choose the level available in their time. It is a
field where our terrestrial grand-children will never cease to
progress.
I think it likely that the first applications will be providing
soldiers with augmented senses and communication. Just as AI
research has been funded by the military. Threats of war are often
used to justify bypassing ethical considerations and rushing into
ill considered projects.
Sadly very plausible.
Bruno
Brent
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