On Tue, Jun 10, 2014 at 8:25 PM, Bruno Marchal <marc...@ulb.ac.be> wrote:

>
> On 10 Jun 2014, at 06:51, Russell Standish wrote:
>
>  On Tue, Jun 10, 2014 at 04:39:14PM +1200, LizR wrote:
>>
>>> On 10 June 2014 14:52, meekerdb <meeke...@verizon.net> wrote:
>>>
>>>  On 6/9/2014 6:48 PM, Russell Standish wrote:
>>>>
>>>>  OK - there are 2 future branches, A and B, each of which have equal
>>>>> objective probability of occurring. Ie the Born rule says each has a
>>>>> probability of 0.5.
>>>>>
>>>>> However, perhaps _subjectively_, Alice sees branch A with probability
>>>>> 0.9 and branch B with probability 0.1, and Bob sees branch A with
>>>>> probability 0.1 and branch B with probability 0.9.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>> If there are only two branches then Alice see each with probability 1.0.
>>>> From a bird's eye view you can renormalize this and call it 0.5.  But I
>>>> don't see any way to even assign meaning to 0.1 or 0.9 when the branch
>>>> probabilities are 0.5.
>>>>
>>>>
>>> Me neither. Glad we agree on something :-)
>>>
>>> Over to you, Russell. What are we missing?
>>>
>>>
>> The probabilities are those of entering branch A or B from the
>> unbranched state the precedes them.
>>
>> You're making an assumption that this measure is proportional to the
>> cardinality of those branches. I'm making no such assumption. That's all.
>>
>
> But then your first person experience will depart from the gaussian one,
> that we can observe, in the 3p view of the many 1-views which are defined
> by the testimony of the experiences in the observable many diaries. In the
> iterated WM duplication, you will get a majority of doppelgangers
> criticizing your "selection" as arbitrary.
>
> Of course this is assuming we already inherit the normality which must
> exist with comp, and seems to exist technically, and also empirically, of
> course, ... well I hope.
>

I think I see what is meant, but can you elaborate on why "normality must
exist with comp/technically"? PGC


>
> Bruno
>
>
>
>
>
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>> ----------------
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>> University of New South Wales          http://www.hpcoders.com.au
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>
> http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/
>
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