Hi Jason, Sorry for the delay !
On Thu, Dec 11, 2014 at 5:53 AM, Jason Resch <jasonre...@gmail.com> wrote: > > Telmo, > > Very creative solution! I think you may have been the first to out-smart > the super-intelligence. Although would you risk $1,000,000 to gain the > extra $1,000 on the belief that the super intelligence hasn't figured out a > way to predict or account for collapse? QM could always be wrong of > course, or maybe the super intelligence knows we're in a simulation and has > reverse engineered the state of the pseudorandom number generator used to > give the appearance of collapse/splitting. :-) > Realistically, I would be a boring one boxer. Why risk one million for the extra one thousand? If I was convinced that the AI was that good, then I might risk it, more out of curiosity than a desire to beat the AI. In the worst case I would end up feeling like the K foundation: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K_Foundation_Burn_a_Million_Quid Telmo. > > > Jason > > > On Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 10:59 AM, Telmo Menezes <te...@telmomenezes.com> > wrote: > >> >> >> On Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 9:55 AM, Jason Resch <jasonre...@gmail.com> >> wrote: >> >>> I started quite a lively debate at work recently by bringing up >>> Newcomb's Paradox. We debated topics ranging from the prisoner's dilemma to >>> the halting problem, from free will to retro causality, from first person >>> indeterminacy to Godel's incompleteness. >>> >>> My colleagues were about evenly split between one-boxing and two-boxing, >>> and I was curious if there would be any more consensus among the members of >>> this list. If you're unfamiliar with the problem there are descriptions >>> here: >>> >>> http://www.philosophyexperiments.com/newcomb/ >>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newcomb%27s_paradox >>> >>> If you reach a decision, please reply with whether your strategy would >>> be to take one box or two, what assumptions you make, and why you think >>> your strategy is best. I don't want to bias the results so I'll provide my >>> answer in a follow-up post. >>> >> >> Employ a quantum noise source to generate a random decision. With it, >> generate a very slightly unbalanced coin flip. Use it to decide on one box >> vs. two boxes. Give "one box" a very slight advantage. The only rational >> choice for the oracle is to bet on "one box". You get 1 million with a >> probability of 0.51111 or the full 1.01 million with a probability of >> 0.49999. >> >> Telmo. >> >> >>> >>> >>> Jason >>> >>> -- >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>> Groups "Everything List" group. >>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send >>> an email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. >>> To post to this group, send email to everything-list@googlegroups.com. >>> Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. >>> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. >>> >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Everything List" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. >> To post to this group, send email to everything-list@googlegroups.com. >> Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. >> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. >> > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Everything List" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. > To post to this group, send email to everything-list@googlegroups.com. > Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. > For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To post to this group, send email to everything-list@googlegroups.com. Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
