On Sat, Jul 16, 2016 at 9:36 AM, Bruno Marchal <marc...@ulb.ac.be> wrote:
>
> On 15 Jul 2016, at 10:10, Telmo Menezes wrote:
>
>> On Thu, Jul 14, 2016 at 8:23 PM, Brent Meeker <meeke...@verizon.net>
>> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 7/14/2016 4:58 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Mon, Jul 11, 2016 at 8:25 PM, Brent Meeker <meeke...@verizon.net>
>>>> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 7/11/2016 10:05 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 09 Jul 2016, at 18:35, Telmo Menezes wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Sat, Jul 9, 2016 at 6:11 PM, John Clark <johnkcl...@gmail.com>
>>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On Sat, Jul 9, 2016 at 4:53 AM, Telmo Menezes
>>>>>>>> <te...@telmomenezes.com>
>>>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Thanks for illustrating what I just said.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> What you just said was:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> "
>>>>>>>> Most sane people sooner or later realize that the only way to win
>>>>>>>> this
>>>>>>>> game is not to play it
>>>>>>>> "
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> And then I just said:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> "If true then the only logical conclusion to make is that
>>>>>>>> Telmo Menezes
>>>>>>>> is not sane."
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It is also possible that I am an outlier in this regard (most sane
>>>>>>> people...) or that I haven't reached the point where I am sick of
>>>>>>> playing the game (sooner or later).
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It is further possible that what I mean by "this game" is the game of
>>>>>>> arguing about the validity of the UDA (and please spare me from your
>>>>>>> usual jokes where you go to wikipedia looking for meaning of the
>>>>>>> acronym. Yes yes it's super funny).
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> This is your usual modus operandi and I am sick of it. I say modus
>>>>>>> operandi because, judging from certain contributions you made to this
>>>>>>> mailing list it is quite clear that you do not have the limited
>>>>>>> intelligence required to honestly make such mistakes. That would be
>>>>>>> forgivable, but here, and more importantly as you do when discussing
>>>>>>> Bruno's theories, you argue in bad faith.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Finally, yes it could be that I am not sane. Unlike you, I consider
>>>>>>> this possibility. The fact that you do not consider it is precisely
>>>>>>> what makes you a religious fundamentalist. Just because your religion
>>>>>>> has no name, doesn't mean that it does not exist.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> I'll spare you the trouble and paste you usual bromide. Here you go:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> "Wow, calling a guy known for disliking religion religious, never
>>>>>>> heard that one before, at least I never heard it before I was 12."
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> This is precisely the sort of manipulative bullshit that religious
>>>>>>> people use. The implicit appeal to common sense. The suggestion that
>>>>>>> your opponent is childish. Anything but directly addressing the ideas
>>>>>>> of your interlocutor.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> You argue in bad faith, you destroy honest discussion to score
>>>>>>> internet points and you bully people that were nothing but nice to
>>>>>>> you.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>> Rather accurate description I'm afraid.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I think John Clark's religion has a name, though, it is
>>>>>> Materialism----which includes Weak Materialism: the belief in some
>>>>>> primary
>>>>>> matter and/or its corresponding epistemological version: Physicalism
>>>>>> (physics is the fundamental science, physics can't be reduced to
>>>>>> anything
>>>>>> else simpler).
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I use "weak materialism" for that religion, to oppose it to the use of
>>>>>> "materialism" in philosophy of mind, which is that not only
>>>>>> matter/force
>>>>>> exists, but only matter/force exists.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Note that mechanism is what makes materialism working well, as Diderot
>>>>>> and
>>>>>> the modern materialist and Naturalist usually think, but only up to
>>>>>> some
>>>>>> point as materialism stumbles down quickly on the mind/body problem. I
>>>>>> think
>>>>>> Descartes got the correct (monist) answer, but in his meditation, he
>>>>>> needs
>>>>>> to assume that God is good, which, even if true, cannot be assumed in
>>>>>> a
>>>>>> scientific derivation. But I think he got the main point though. Too
>>>>>> bad
>>>>>> he
>>>>>> never finished his text "À la Recherche de la Vérité". Too bad he
>>>>>> dismissed
>>>>>> logic and neoplatonism, but there are historical contingencies which
>>>>>> might
>>>>>> explain this.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Note that it is possible to disbelieve in primary matter and still be
>>>>>> physicalist. (using a particular or special universal number + some
>>>>>> oracle).
>>>>>>
>>>>>> When we assume mechanism, it is up to the materialist to explain what
>>>>>> is
>>>>>> primary matter and how it get the focus of consciousness, and it is up
>>>>>> to
>>>>>> the physicalist to explain what is the rôle, for consciousness, of the
>>>>>> fundamental laws of physics, and why they can't be explained in term
>>>>>> of
>>>>>> the
>>>>>> (infinities of) computations (measure).
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Explanation is easy.  Prediction is hard.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> I think it really depends. For example, it is very easy to predict
>>>> that the sun will rise in the morning, but it took humanity a lot of
>>>> time to come up with a good explanation of why this is the case.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Or they came up with a lot of explanations and we only count as "good"
>>> those
>>> that give good predictions - like the shadow of the Sun on the Moon is a
>>> circle.
>>
>>
>> Right, but the problem with laughing at them is that our current
>> super-serious scientific theories might be the target of similar
>> laughter by our descendants 1K years from now -- if we manage to
>> survive that long, of course.
>>
>>>>
>>>> A more modern set of examples:
>>>>
>>>> - Neural correlates are easy to find, explaining how the brain
>>>> actually works is super-hard;
>>>>
>>>> - Epidemiological studies keep predicting all sorts of things about
>>>> nutritional habits,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Maybe I didn't express myself precisely enough.  Prediction that is
>>> accurate
>>
>>
>> All of the examples that I gave you are of accurate predictions: the
>> sun does go up every morning, drinking soda makes you fat and certain
>> parts of the brain reliably become more active when you look at photos
>> of nice girls (or boys, let's not be sexist -- although it looks like
>> we scared off all the women from here long ago :)
>
>
> Don't forget Samya.

Oops sorry Samya!

>
>
>
>>
>>> and goes beyond the data in scope is hard.
>>
>>
>> But what could "going beyond the data in scope" mean other then
>> "explanation"? If your definition of prediction already includes
>> explanation, then what you said is trivially true, but not very
>> meaningful.
>>
>>> Just making a prediction is easy
>>> - Donald Trump predicts he'll be the greatest President every day.
>>
>>
>> He has a "genius-level IQ" tough.
>>
>>>> while we seem quite far from having reasonable
>>>> explanations in most cases (too much complexity from metabolic
>>>> pathways, epigentic interactions etc etc)
>>>>
>>>> This trend seems to only be more accentuated with certain machine
>>>> learning models, that are increasingly good at predicting all sorts of
>>>> things while remaining black boxes for explanatory purposes.
>>>>
>>>>>  Physicalist can predict that
>>>>> cutting off oxygen from your brain will cause loss of consciousness.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Non-physicalists can make the same prediction (in the sense that you
>>>> say "loss of consciousness").
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> OK, so what's the mystics explanation?
>>
>>
>> I don't know, I never talked to mystics about this issue.
>>
>> The non-physicalists explanation is the same as yours: an inactive
>> brain cannot process perceptual data. The disagreements are over other
>> issues: what is consciousness, and what is closer to the bottom,
>> consciousness or matter. Again, none of these issues interfere with
>> the phenomenological world or with empirical scientific results.
>
>
> Until now. Without QM, I would probably think that computationalism is
> refuted, as computationalism predicts we see a trace of the "parallel
> computations" when looking close enough to ourselves and that they obey a
> non boolean logic. But QM came to the rescue of computationalism. Digital
> Mechanism explains the QM facts, and what is weird in physics is just simply
> predicted in arithmetic or computer science, when we take the 1P/3P
> distinction into account, 'course, as we do in physics already.
>
> Bruno
>
>
>>
>>>> What's the problem? The disagreements
>>>> might start when you ask questions like: does the universe exist when
>>>> I'm not conscious? But that doesn't affect the phenomenological world,
>>>> no problem.
>>>>
>>>>> Explanations in terms of infinities of computations are like physics
>>>>> explaining things as "A consequence of the state of the universe and
>>>>> the
>>>>> laws of physics."
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> I have read a few papers from physicists delving into social science
>>>> problems, and what they say is not so different from what you state
>>>> above :)
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> And for that reason they are given little credence.
>>
>>
>> To be fair, statistical physics has made some nice contributions to
>> social science, namely the Schelling segregation model, and the
>> application of Ising magnetization models to opinion dynamics and
>> rumor spreading, as well as certain aspects of network theory. The
>> problem is when these models are taken too seriously (ignoring that
>> social realities are highly complex and that these models are just
>> good for grasping one of the underlying dynamics of what is going on)
>>
>> Somewhat related: I am enjoying this very recent paper by Max Tegmark
>> about natural language:
>> http://arxiv.org/abs/1606.06737v2
>>
>> Telmo
>>
>>> Brent
>>>
>>>
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>
>
> http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/
>
>
>
>
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