On Tue, Nov 22, 2022 at 11:35 AM Brent Meeker <meekerbr...@gmail.com> wrote:

> On 11/21/2022 4:33 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> On Tue, Nov 22, 2022 at 11:08 AM Brent Meeker <meekerbr...@gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> He's wrong that frequentism does not empirically support probability
>> statements.  He goes off on a tangent by referring to "other gamblers".
>> Nothing in physics is certain, yet Deutsch takes a bunch of definite
>> assertions and claims they alone are the real physics.
>>
>
> His critique of frequentism is just a recap of arguments that are well
> known -- you cannot ground probability theory in frequentism, or the idea
> that probabilities are nothing more than ratios of long-run frequencies.
> Long-run frequencies might approximate the probabilities, but they cannot
> be used to ground probability theory -- for well known reasons. I agree
> that he goes off on a number of irrelevant tangents, and he is wrong to
> suppose that frequentism is a main-stream theory of probability (at least,
> these days).
>
>
> But frequencies are how we test probabilistic theories.
>

Testing is not a theoretical grounding of the theory.

Bruce

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