On Mon, Feb 10, 2025 at 9:25 AM Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Mon, Feb 10, 2025 at 8:49 AM Russell Standish <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>> On Thu, Feb 06, 2025 at 11:38:52AM +1100, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>> >
>> > Many worlds theory does not have any comparable way of relating
>> probabilities
>> > to the properties of the wave function. In fact, if all possibilities
>> are
>> > realized on every trial, the majority of observers will get results that
>> > contradict the Born probabilities.
>> >
>>
>> I'm not sure what you mean by "contradict", but the majority of
>> observers will get results that lie within one standard deviation of
>> the expected value (ie mean) according to the distribution of Born
>> probabilities. If this is what you mean by "contradict", then you are
>> trivially correct, but uninteresting. If you mean the above statement
>> is false according to the MWI, then I'd like to know why. It sure
>> doesn't seem so to me.
>>
>
> It does depend on what value you take for N, the number of trials. In the
> limit of very large N, the law of large numbers does give the result you
> suggest. But for intermediate values of N, MWI says that there will always
> be branches for which the ratio of successes to N falls outside any
> reasonable error bound on the expected Born value.
>
> This problem has been noted by others, and when asked about it, Carroll
> simply dismissed the poor suckers that get results that invalidate the Born
> Rule as just poor unlucky suckers. Sure, in a single world system, there is
> always a small probability that you will get anomalous results. But that is
> always a small probability. Whereas, in MWI, there are always such branches
> with anomalous results, even for large N. The difference is important.
>
> The other point is that the set of branches obtained in Everettian many
> worlds is independent of the amplitudes, or the Born probabilities for each
> outcome, so observations on any one branch cannot be used as evidence,
> either for or against the theory.
>
> See the articles by Adrian Kent and David Albert in "Many Worlds: Everett,
> Quantum Theory, and Reality"(OUP, 2010) Edited by Saunders, Barrett, Kent,
> and Wallace.
>

I forgot to add that Kent's paper is also available on arxiv:
arxiv.org/abs/0905.0624


> Bruce
>

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