On 2/10/2025 2:32 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


Le lun. 10 févr. 2025, 23:21, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> a écrit :

    On Mon, Feb 10, 2025 at 11:09 PM Quentin Anciaux
    <[email protected]> wrote:

        Bruce,

        Your argument assumes that all measurement sequences are
        equally likely, which is false in MWI. The issue is not about
        which sequences exist (they all do) but about how measure is
        distributed among them. The Born rule does not emerge from
        simple branch counting—it emerges from the relative measure
        assigned to each branch.


    You really are obsessed with the idea that I am assuming that all
    measurement sequences are equally likely. It does not matter how
    many times I deny this, and point out how my argument does not
    depend in any way on such an assumption, you keep insisting that
    that is my error. I think you should pay more attention to what I
    am saying and not so much to your own prejudices.

    Each of the binary sequences that result from N trials of
    measurements on a 2-component system will exist independently of
    the original amplitudes. For example, the sequence with r zeros,
    and (N - r) ones, will have a coefficient a^r b^(N-r). You are
    interpreting this as a weight or probability without any evidence
    for such an interpretation. If you impose the Born rule, it is the
    Born probability of that sequence. But we have not imposed the
    Born rule, so as far as I am concerned it is just a number. And
    this number is the same for that sequence whenever it occurs. The
    point is that I simply count the zeros (and/or ones) in each
    sequence. This gives an estimate of the probability of getting a
    zero (or one in that sequence). That estimate is p = r/N. Now that
    probability estimate is the same for every occurrence of that
    sequence. In particular, the probability estimate is independent
    of the Born probability from the initial state, which is simply a^2.

    The problem here is that we get all possible values of the
    probability estimate p = r/N from the set of 2^ binary sequences
    that arise from every set of N trials. This should give rise to
    concern, because only very few of these probability estimates are
    going to agree with the Born probability a^2. You cannot, at this
    stage, use the amplitudes of each sequence to downweight anomalous
    results because the Born rule is not available to you from the
    Schrodinger equation.

    The problem is multiplied when you consider that the amplitudes in
    the original state |psi> = a|0> + b|1> are arbitrary, so the true
    Born probabilities can take on any value between 0 and 1. This
    arbitrariness is not reflected in the set of 2^N binary sequences
    that you obtain in any experiment with N trials because you get
    the same set for any value of the original amplitudes


        You claim that in large N trials, most sequences will have an
        equal number of zeros and ones, implying that the estimated
        probability will tend toward 0.5. But this ignores that the
        wavefunction does not generate sequences with uniform measure.
        The amplitude of each sequence is determined by the product of
        individual amplitudes along the sequence, and when you apply
        the Born rule iteratively, high-measure sequences dominate the
        observer’s experience.

        Your mistake is treating measurement as though every sequence
        has equal likelihood, which contradicts the actual evolution
        of the wavefunction. Yes, there are 2^N branches, but those
        branches do not carry equal measure. The vast majority of
        measure is concentrated in the sequences that match the Born
        distribution, meaning that nearly all observers find
        themselves in worlds where outcomes obey the expected frequencies.

        This is not speculation; it follows directly from the
        structure of the wavefunction. The weight of a branch is not
        just a number—it represents the relative frequency with which
        observers find themselves in different sequences. The fact
        that a branch exists does not mean it has equal relevance to
        an observer's experience.

        Your logic would apply if MWI simply stated that all sequences
        exist and are equally likely. But that is not what MWI says.
        It says that the measure of a branch determines the number of
        observer instances that experience that branch. The
        overwhelming majority of those instances will observe the Born
        rule, not because of "branch counting," but because
        high-measure sequences contain exponentially more copies of
        any given observer.

        If your argument were correct, QM would be falsified every
        time we ran an experiment, because we would never observe
        Born-rule statistics.


    That is the point I am making. MWI is disconfirmed by every
    experiment. QM remains intact, it is your many worlds
    interpretation that fails.


        Yet every experiment confirms the Born rule, which means your
        assumption that "all sequences contribute equally" is
        demonstrably false.


    Since I do not make that assumption, your conclusion is wrong.

        You are ignoring that measure, not count, determines what
        observers experience.


    When you do an experiment measuring the spin projection of some
    2-component state, all that you record is a sequence of zeros and
    ones, with r zeros and (N - r) ones. You do not ever see the
    amplitude of that sequence. It has no effect on what you measure,
    so claiming that it can up- or down-weight your results is absurd.

    Bruce


Your argument is based on treating the measurement process as merely counting sequences of zeros and ones, while dismissing the amplitudes as “just numbers.”
No amplitudes show up in the sequence of zeros and ones.  You are implicitly assuming the Born rule attaches to those sequences of 0 and 1, but it doesn't without a separate axiom saying so.

But this ignores that the wavefunction governs the evolution of the system, and the amplitudes are not arbitrary labels—they encode the structure of reality.
But in MWI  at every repetition of the experiment all the possible results occur.  And they don't have any weights attached to them.

The Schrodinger equation evolves the system deterministically, and when measurement occurs, the measure of each branch determines how many observer instances find themselves in it.
Now you're assuming branch counting instead of weights.  But the same objection applies.  The Schroedinger equation doesn't not create different numbers of branches.  MWI assumes every possible outcome occurs once per experiment.  To get some different branching structure you need the Born rule or some equivalent assumption (like Barbour's).


You claim that the amplitude of a sequence does not affect what is measured, yet this is exactly what determines how many observers experience a given sequence. The claim that “you do not ever see the amplitude” misses the point: you do not directly observe measure, but you observe its consequences. The reason we see Born-rule statistics is that the measure dictates the relative number of observers experiencing different sequences.
How does the measure appear in the multiple worlds?  If you're going to have every possibility occur, how in each world, where the only observation is 1 or 0, does the measure occur?

Brent

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